The Dunning-Kruger election and what's at stake (08-26-2024--Hour3)

[00:00:04] [SPEAKER_00]: What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon to 3 on WBT Radio in Charlotte. And if you want exclusive content like invitations to events, the weekly live stream, my daily show prep with all the links, become a patron, go to thepetekalendershow.com. Make sure you hit the subscribe button, get every episode for free, right to your smartphone or tablet. And again, thank you so much for your support.

[00:00:28] [SPEAKER_00]: All righty, hour number three already. Wow. News Talk 1110-993-WBT. Pete Kaliner here. Pete Kaliner Show, merely a coincidence. 704-570-1110. Email is pete at thepetekalendershow.com. You can also find me on Twitter at Pete Kaliner. And all you gotta do is tag me with a little at sign, Pete Kaliner, all one word, and then I'll see it. And if it's a good enough tweet, I will read it as a Pete tweet.

[00:00:56] [SPEAKER_00]: Don't just throw anything at me there. And also, I don't open any links. That's how I stay clean.

[00:01:02] [SPEAKER_00]: Chris, welcome to the program. Hello, Chris.

[00:01:06] [SPEAKER_03]: It's always a blessing to talk to you, Pete.

[00:01:07] [SPEAKER_03]: Oh, that's too kind.

[00:01:08] [SPEAKER_03]: Love hearing from you.

[00:01:09] [SPEAKER_03]: So I kind of wanted to explore the kind of the deep state Democrat machine and kind of what they were thinking all the way up to RFK.

[00:01:19] [SPEAKER_03]: But back in the day, so Obama, Pelosi, the Clintons, the deep state, they were kind of like, kind of didn't want Joe Biden to run, right?

[00:01:30] [SPEAKER_03]: It was evident with Obama. He wasn't going to endorse until the very end.

[00:01:34] [SPEAKER_00]: Well, and yeah, going back, remember in what was it, 2016, right, where he basically said to Joe Biden, I'm not going to endorse you.

[00:01:44] [SPEAKER_00]: And he would endorse, he was, you know, wanting Hillary Clinton, right?

[00:01:47] [SPEAKER_00]: Like that was the first snub of Joe Biden.

[00:01:51] [SPEAKER_03]: All right. So the thinking of this machine, it's kind of like, okay, we don't want this guy, but he gets in, comes up for re-election.

[00:02:00] [SPEAKER_03]: And I'm trying to figure out kind of what happened with them is that they go in full force with them, even though they see this cognitive decline even back then.

[00:02:10] [SPEAKER_03]: And so they stub RFK. So, and Democrats are good at stubbing like Patricia Cobham.

[00:02:18] [SPEAKER_03]: They stub her, they tell them, we don't want you, but she leaves them.

[00:02:23] [SPEAKER_03]: Same way with RFK. So what was it that changed with that deep state that at the very end, finally it comes out that Joe Biden's got cognitive decline,

[00:02:36] [SPEAKER_03]: and then they make this change. What is it that, that they held on, even though we all know dementia kind of runs its course,

[00:02:45] [SPEAKER_03]: and surely they knew, knew before, even before that debate, that it's not going to look good for him.

[00:02:50] [SPEAKER_00]: Well, we don't, yeah, so it's a good question. And I don't know the answer.

[00:02:55] [SPEAKER_00]: All we are left to do is to speculate until somebody comes out with some sort of, you know, expose from the inside to tell us,

[00:03:04] [SPEAKER_00]: you know, a story about what led to the thinking and the strategy.

[00:03:09] [SPEAKER_00]: So on the one hand, there could be the idea that the people around Joe Biden thought that they could,

[00:03:18] [SPEAKER_00]: that they could negate some of the worst, the worst effects of the cognitive decline, right?

[00:03:26] [SPEAKER_00]: With whatever cocktail of pharmaceuticals that they were pumping him with, you know,

[00:03:32] [SPEAKER_00]: the State of the Union speech, he did so well and everybody was super excited about it.

[00:03:36] [SPEAKER_00]: But, yeah, yeah.

[00:03:37] [SPEAKER_00]: So that could be one explanation, right?

[00:03:40] [SPEAKER_00]: Another explanation is that they moved up the debate in front of the convention because they knew he wasn't salvageable anymore.

[00:03:50] [SPEAKER_03]: I agree with that. I think that was the purpose, kind of the run through that we know.

[00:03:56] [SPEAKER_03]: But here's another side of it.

[00:03:57] [SPEAKER_03]: So I want to go into Dunning-Truger for a second, if I could.

[00:04:02] [SPEAKER_03]: Yeah.

[00:04:02] [SPEAKER_03]: The idea, it kind of goes into human stupidity, kind of goes into, kind of goes into the idea like, you know,

[00:04:09] [SPEAKER_03]: it's been noted, what's the word for husbands that will do such a bad job on a chore?

[00:04:15] [SPEAKER_03]: It's weaponized incompetence, right?

[00:04:17] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.

[00:04:17] [SPEAKER_00]: Well, so, and you mentioned Dunning-Kruger, so let me just explain for people who may not know what that is.

[00:04:21] [SPEAKER_00]: That's the idea.

[00:04:22] [SPEAKER_00]: If you ask people after they take a test, this was their test.

[00:04:25] [SPEAKER_00]: They asked people to take a test, and then they asked them how they did.

[00:04:29] [SPEAKER_00]: And the study was not of the test results.

[00:04:32] [SPEAKER_00]: The study was actually about what people thought of their own test performance.

[00:04:36] [SPEAKER_00]: And the people who did the best tended to say they felt like they did the worst.

[00:04:41] [SPEAKER_00]: And the people who did worse on the test tended to think that they did pretty awesome.

[00:04:47] [SPEAKER_00]: And so it's like, so essentially it is this idea that you don't know enough to know that you're an idiot.

[00:04:55] Right?

[00:04:56] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.

[00:04:57] [SPEAKER_03]: True.

[00:04:57] [SPEAKER_03]: And it went, it went on in a whole bunch of people, even medical students.

[00:05:01] [SPEAKER_03]: They did a whole bunch of, and I listened to Dunning on this, but he's talking about medical students that they were given a process,

[00:05:09] [SPEAKER_03]: and they would think they were good enough to teach that.

[00:05:11] [SPEAKER_03]: And all their professors are saying, no, none of them could actually teach that, right?

[00:05:15] [SPEAKER_00]: Right, right.

[00:05:15] [SPEAKER_03]: So going into that, you're kind of going into what if those Democrats know this, right?

[00:05:23] [SPEAKER_03]: And so we know that there's a majority of stupid Democrats that are voting regardless.

[00:05:30] [SPEAKER_03]: And I kind of come off of this from a friend of mine.

[00:05:32] [SPEAKER_03]: I was trying to help her out, but she's posting some stupid stuff.

[00:05:35] [SPEAKER_03]: And I'm not calling her stupid, but if there was a stupid person, she would be it.

[00:05:40] [SPEAKER_03]: And she knows absolutely nothing.

[00:05:42] [SPEAKER_03]: So I see part of that from the deep state Democrats in that, that they see this.

[00:05:48] [SPEAKER_03]: So they actually, on top of that, will do something incompetent themselves with the cognitive dissonance to help them out,

[00:05:57] [SPEAKER_03]: to kind of destroy the system.

[00:05:59] [SPEAKER_03]: Again, and we're kind of going into Marxism on top of that.

[00:06:02] [SPEAKER_03]: But they're using that idea to rule the roost with a whole bunch of stupid people,

[00:06:11] [SPEAKER_03]: so that we sit there and we're looking at them and even saying Kamala Harris, she doesn't know anything.

[00:06:16] [SPEAKER_03]: But what if she's purposefully doing this stuff to kind of make a point to the rest of society,

[00:06:24] [SPEAKER_03]: just believe what we say, using that stupidity of people?

[00:06:27] [SPEAKER_00]: So I think that there are voters in both camps that will vote for the yellow dog, right?

[00:06:34] [SPEAKER_00]: They used to call them yellow dog Democrats, where they would vote for anybody as long as they were a Democrat.

[00:06:38] [SPEAKER_00]: And it doesn't matter.

[00:06:40] [SPEAKER_00]: I think there is also, you know, the people who are looking at the polling for these national races

[00:06:49] [SPEAKER_00]: and the polling outfits themselves, those are the best polling outfits.

[00:06:53] [SPEAKER_00]: And the people who are running these campaigns, they get access to the best polling.

[00:06:58] [SPEAKER_00]: And so they're looking at the numbers.

[00:07:00] [SPEAKER_00]: They're seeing these negatives.

[00:07:02] [SPEAKER_00]: And at some point they may realize, and we talked about this for a couple different,

[00:07:06] [SPEAKER_00]: in a couple different ways over the course of weeks, you know, are they going to,

[00:07:09] [SPEAKER_00]: I called it Operation Ripcord.

[00:07:11] [SPEAKER_00]: Are they going to pull the ripcord on Joe Biden?

[00:07:14] [SPEAKER_00]: And if they're looking at polling that shows Biden hasn't been above Trump in 300 days,

[00:07:22] [SPEAKER_00]: then they're getting very nervous about their own skin, right?

[00:07:26] [SPEAKER_00]: They're worried that they're going to lose the House, they're going to lose the Senate.

[00:07:29] [SPEAKER_00]: And they're also seeing a thing called double haters, people who hate Donald Trump and hate Joe Biden.

[00:07:35] [SPEAKER_00]: And so if the double haters now are given another option, you can then peel away double haters from that,

[00:07:44] [SPEAKER_00]: that would go and vote for Trump, even though they hate Trump, but they just hate him a little bit less.

[00:07:48] [SPEAKER_00]: So if you can find votes in that camp, then you can peel them away by swapping out Biden.

[00:07:55] [SPEAKER_00]: So maybe you move up the debate, you expose Biden for being the man that he is in the state that he is in,

[00:08:04] [SPEAKER_00]: and then you swap him out with somebody.

[00:08:06] [SPEAKER_00]: And that may not even have been known who they're going to try to swap him out for, right?

[00:08:10] [SPEAKER_00]: They could have just been scrambling to try to do something because they had no other alternative, right?

[00:08:17] [SPEAKER_00]: So it's not even necessarily that they were like, we want Kamala.

[00:08:20] [SPEAKER_00]: It could have just been, we want somebody else, and they couldn't figure out a way to get around her

[00:08:26] [SPEAKER_00]: because she was the vice president and because they used identity politics to pick her.

[00:08:30] [SPEAKER_00]: They could not very well now kick her to the side either.

[00:08:35] [SPEAKER_03]: Yeah, they got stuck with her on that, so they got to make do with that.

[00:08:39] [SPEAKER_03]: But I'm kind of looking at the, I'm wondering if with Dunning-Kruger,

[00:08:43] [SPEAKER_03]: they don't explore that, but what if mass stupidity is increased to making it possible for her to be elected?

[00:08:51] [SPEAKER_03]: Sure.

[00:08:52] [SPEAKER_03]: We all got our lives, but it's kind of scary in a sense to think about that.

[00:08:56] [SPEAKER_00]: Well, think about, so think about if you control the education system in America, right,

[00:09:02] [SPEAKER_00]: and you control it for a couple of generations, now you can affect,

[00:09:06] [SPEAKER_00]: and I think the evidence bears this out, that we are producing less literate people.

[00:09:13] [SPEAKER_00]: In all sorts of fields, right?

[00:09:14] [SPEAKER_00]: Economic illiteracy, right?

[00:09:17] [SPEAKER_00]: Ethical illiteracy.

[00:09:19] [SPEAKER_00]: You've got then the destruction of the churches as well,

[00:09:22] [SPEAKER_00]: so now people don't have a home to get moral guidance.

[00:09:26] [SPEAKER_00]: They begin looking to other institutions,

[00:09:29] [SPEAKER_00]: and a lot of people have looked to government for that.

[00:09:32] [SPEAKER_00]: You break down the family institution as well.

[00:09:34] [SPEAKER_00]: They look where?

[00:09:36] [SPEAKER_00]: To government to help provide for them because there is no longer a large network of family to help them do that.

[00:09:43] [SPEAKER_00]: So if you, yeah, I mean, if you stack these things on top of each other and then layer into that

[00:09:49] [SPEAKER_00]: a campaign against the orange man for now eight years,

[00:09:54] [SPEAKER_00]: painting him as an existential threat, meaning the nation will not exist, right?

[00:10:00] [SPEAKER_00]: If this guy gets in, then we're done.

[00:10:02] [SPEAKER_00]: It's all over.

[00:10:03] [SPEAKER_00]: And we're in fascism, a handmaid's tale, and the climate is going to, you know,

[00:10:07] [SPEAKER_00]: the seas will boil and all this.

[00:10:09] [SPEAKER_00]: Like, we all die.

[00:10:10] [SPEAKER_00]: And when you raise the stakes with that level of catastrophism,

[00:10:14] [SPEAKER_00]: nobody wants to speak against it because if Trump gets in, they will blame you.

[00:10:20] [SPEAKER_00]: And there's a real big problem with, like, especially in media at that level,

[00:10:25] [SPEAKER_00]: they don't want to be seen as not part of the in crowd.

[00:10:29] [SPEAKER_00]: They want to be with the cool kids.

[00:10:31] [SPEAKER_00]: They want to get invited to the parties and such.

[00:10:33] [SPEAKER_00]: And so for the Democrats on this, which is why I think that you're not seeing Kamala Harris in any kind of a rush

[00:10:41] [SPEAKER_00]: to do debates, to do interviews, because she doesn't have to.

[00:10:45] [SPEAKER_00]: I've said this before.

[00:10:46] [SPEAKER_00]: Like, she does not have to do these things.

[00:10:48] [SPEAKER_03]: It's working right now.

[00:10:49] [SPEAKER_03]: I would assume the first debate would change things.

[00:10:53] [SPEAKER_03]: I just don't know how.

[00:10:54] [SPEAKER_03]: And if she's not masking this incompetence and she really is weaponizing it to gain power,

[00:11:02] [SPEAKER_03]: I just – a whole bunch of stupid people need to quit being stupid.

[00:11:06] [SPEAKER_03]: Well, I don't know if it's –

[00:11:07] [SPEAKER_03]: I don't know.

[00:11:08] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't know if it's a choice.

[00:11:10] [SPEAKER_00]: It could be both, right?

[00:11:12] [SPEAKER_00]: She may not be the sharpest knife in the drawer,

[00:11:15] [SPEAKER_00]: but she also could be pursuing her own interests for power, right?

[00:11:20] [SPEAKER_00]: They can both be true.

[00:11:21] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.

[00:11:22] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.

[00:11:22] [SPEAKER_00]: So, yeah, Chris, good discussion, man.

[00:11:24] [SPEAKER_00]: I appreciate the call.

[00:11:25] [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks, sir.

[00:11:25] [SPEAKER_00]: All right, take care.

[00:11:26] [SPEAKER_00]: All right, hey, real quick.

[00:11:26] [SPEAKER_00]: If you would like to get your product or service in front of about 10,000 people multiple times a day,

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[00:11:52] [SPEAKER_00]: Again, that's Pete.

[00:11:53] [SPEAKER_00]: All right, News Talk 1110-993-WBT, 704-570-1110.

[00:11:58] [SPEAKER_00]: Email is Pete at ThePeteCalendarShow.com.

[00:12:02] [SPEAKER_00]: I got a, well, to the, well, what happened to it?

[00:12:06] [SPEAKER_00]: Here it is.

[00:12:08] [SPEAKER_00]: Chris and his comments about Dunning-Kruger and the deep state and all of that,

[00:12:14] [SPEAKER_00]: and why did they give the green light on Operation Ripcord with Joe Biden?

[00:12:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Listen to this segment here, this clip, I should say,

[00:12:26] [SPEAKER_00]: from Nicole Shanahan on the Adam Carolla show.

[00:12:30] [SPEAKER_00]: Adam Carolla, actor, comic, does the podcast, very successful podcast.

[00:12:37] [SPEAKER_00]: And he had Nicole Shanahan on.

[00:12:39] [SPEAKER_00]: Who is she?

[00:12:40] [SPEAKER_00]: She is the vice presidential candidate for or with Bobby Kennedy.

[00:12:47] [SPEAKER_00]: And here's what she said on his podcast about Harris.

[00:12:52] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Kamala Harris is dangerous to me because she is the ultimate puppet for an organization

[00:13:02] [SPEAKER_01]: that has, I believe, since President Obama, not actually run real people.

[00:13:11] [SPEAKER_01]: They have selected amongst a very small group of individuals that they can control and dictate

[00:13:21] [SPEAKER_01]: policy over.

[00:13:23] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think Kamala Harris is somebody who will sit here and tell you how she feels.

[00:13:29] [SPEAKER_01]: I think that human capacity of hers has long gone.

[00:13:33] [SPEAKER_01]: I think that what she now represents is corporatism.

[00:13:40] [SPEAKER_01]: She represents a huge amount of cronyism.

[00:13:46] [SPEAKER_01]: And I do believe that she is using messaging.

[00:13:51] [SPEAKER_01]: And this is the part that worries me the most is that she uses messaging in a way to get populations

[00:13:59] [SPEAKER_01]: of young, unknowing, innocent people to join her on these false virtue signal ambitions

[00:14:11] [SPEAKER_01]: and actually take on policies that will eventually really hurt them in the future.

[00:14:18] [SPEAKER_01]: My mother is from communist China.

[00:14:21] [SPEAKER_01]: I grew up hearing about what the famine was like in communist China.

[00:14:25] [SPEAKER_02]: Right.

[00:14:26] [SPEAKER_02]: Well, she's going to do price controls at supermarkets, so we don't have to worry about that.

[00:14:31] [SPEAKER_01]: But that is exactly how you get to a famine.

[00:14:34] [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, this is...

[00:14:34] [SPEAKER_01]: I know.

[00:14:35] [SPEAKER_01]: This is the basics.

[00:14:37] [SPEAKER_01]: These are the...

[00:14:38] [SPEAKER_01]: This is communism 101.

[00:14:42] [SPEAKER_00]: What is she saying there?

[00:14:45] [SPEAKER_00]: That Kamala Harris is essentially an empty vessel, a blank slate, which, by the way, remember,

[00:14:52] [SPEAKER_00]: that's what Barack Obama ran as.

[00:14:54] [SPEAKER_00]: That was their strategy.

[00:14:56] [SPEAKER_00]: His campaign told us that, that he was a blank slate.

[00:15:00] [SPEAKER_00]: He didn't really have much of a record.

[00:15:03] [SPEAKER_00]: He was a heck of a speaker.

[00:15:05] [SPEAKER_00]: He's still a heck of a speaker.

[00:15:08] [SPEAKER_00]: And so if you write the speeches in a way that appeal to enough people because you're not

[00:15:14] [SPEAKER_00]: really saying anything, then you can move policy in any direction you want because once the

[00:15:22] [SPEAKER_00]: people get invested in you as the blank slate candidate, now they're going to back you no

[00:15:27] [SPEAKER_00]: matter what.

[00:15:29] [SPEAKER_00]: And by the way, I mean, same can be said for Donald Trump to a large degree.

[00:15:33] [SPEAKER_00]: And I know that angers Donald Trump supporters, but the policies has never been his strong

[00:15:41] [SPEAKER_00]: suit, right?

[00:15:42] [SPEAKER_00]: The underlying philosophy of governance has never been something that he talks about at

[00:15:48] [SPEAKER_00]: length, right?

[00:15:49] [SPEAKER_00]: Guy was a real estate guy.

[00:15:51] [SPEAKER_00]: But even he could tell that something's broken.

[00:15:54] [SPEAKER_00]: And remember, he came out of the Democrat Party.

[00:15:56] [SPEAKER_00]: So obviously, we know what he was looking at, right?

[00:16:00] [SPEAKER_00]: That's, it's no wonder.

[00:16:02] [SPEAKER_00]: He probably was ahead of the curve.

[00:16:04] [SPEAKER_00]: Bobby Kennedy saw it 10 years after Trump did, you know, 15 years after Trump did.

[00:16:10] [SPEAKER_00]: That's what she's saying here.

[00:16:11] [SPEAKER_00]: That's what Nicole Shanahan, that's how I read what she's saying is that Kamala Harris

[00:16:15] [SPEAKER_00]: will do whatever the people, these advisors, right?

[00:16:19] [SPEAKER_00]: This, dare I say it, cabal, the very same people, right?

[00:16:24] [SPEAKER_00]: That worked for Obama's campaign and into the White House and then work for Joe Biden.

[00:16:29] [SPEAKER_00]: And now they're working for Kamala Harris.

[00:16:31] [SPEAKER_00]: Who's actually running the policy?

[00:16:33] [SPEAKER_00]: Who's running the White House and the government?

[00:16:35] [SPEAKER_00]: It's a good question.

[00:16:36] [SPEAKER_00]: Maybe if we had, I don't know, like an industry devoted to asking questions and telling us

[00:16:40] [SPEAKER_00]: the answers to these things, we might be a little bit healthier as a society.

[00:16:45] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.

[00:16:45] [SPEAKER_00]: RFK Jr. asked a pretty important question.

[00:16:47] [SPEAKER_00]: How are citizens supposed to assess where we are in the country and U.S. leadership around

[00:16:54] [SPEAKER_00]: the globe?

[00:16:56] [SPEAKER_00]: How are we to assess where we are as a country and our leadership around the globe when we

[00:17:06] [SPEAKER_00]: don't have a press, a media that is independent from the government?

[00:17:16] [SPEAKER_00]: We've been talking about this topic for years.

[00:17:19] [SPEAKER_00]: Right?

[00:17:20] [SPEAKER_00]: Facebook, you know, social media platforms.

[00:17:22] [SPEAKER_00]: Most people, by the way, get their news now from social media platforms.

[00:17:25] [SPEAKER_00]: And so when the government opens up these backdoor channels, as we learned all about with the

[00:17:32] [SPEAKER_00]: COVID-19 pandemic, misinformation, disinformation, right?

[00:17:36] [SPEAKER_00]: The apparatus was ready to go and it has only grown since.

[00:17:40] [SPEAKER_00]: And it's like whack-a-mole.

[00:17:42] [SPEAKER_00]: You shut one of these things down and then another organization pops up.

[00:17:48] [SPEAKER_00]: We covered a couple of weeks ago, GARM, right?

[00:17:51] [SPEAKER_00]: The Global Alliance for Responsible Media or something like that.

[00:17:54] [SPEAKER_00]: And they would create rankings of social media or I should say alternate media shows, platforms,

[00:18:04] [SPEAKER_00]: Daily Wire, right?

[00:18:05] [SPEAKER_00]: Podcasts.

[00:18:06] [SPEAKER_00]: And they would blacklist conservative outlets.

[00:18:11] [SPEAKER_00]: So you've got advertisers, you've got businesses that then hand over their marketing programs to

[00:18:19] [SPEAKER_00]: ad agencies.

[00:18:21] [SPEAKER_00]: And the ad agencies, who, by the way, are part of that larger global alliance, they then rely on the rankings by the global

[00:18:30] [SPEAKER_00]: alliance in order to keep their products, quote, safe.

[00:18:33] [SPEAKER_00]: They don't want their products to be on a podcast that's, you know, exploiting young children for sex abuse or something like that.

[00:18:42] [SPEAKER_00]: They don't want to be an advertiser on a program like that.

[00:18:44] [SPEAKER_00]: So they create these blacklists.

[00:18:47] [SPEAKER_00]: And I'm sure it's merely coincidence that the blacklists always end up with conservative outlets on them.

[00:18:56] [SPEAKER_00]: Right?

[00:18:57] [SPEAKER_00]: There's a soft censorship and a hard censorship.

[00:19:00] [SPEAKER_00]: And I've talked about that over the last few weeks as well.

[00:19:03] [SPEAKER_00]: You can find all of those episodes, by the way, at the Pete Calendar Show dot com or WBT dot com.

[00:19:08] [SPEAKER_00]: Get the podcast.

[00:19:09] [SPEAKER_00]: Anyway.

[00:19:11] [SPEAKER_00]: RFK Jr. said the good news is that they could not shut down his ideas, especially among young voters.

[00:19:16] [SPEAKER_00]: He said, I promise to drop out if I would be a spoiler because he can't ask supporters to keep working or his donors to keep donating if he doesn't see a path forward.

[00:19:27] [SPEAKER_00]: He said at this announcement on Friday that he is not terminating his campaign, although the White House did terminate his Secret Service detail.

[00:19:39] [SPEAKER_00]: Because it's not like, you know, a Kennedy has ever had to worry about getting assassinated or anything.

[00:19:44] [SPEAKER_00]: But his polling shows that remaining on the ballot in battleground states, he said, would hand the election to the Democrats with whom he disagrees on the most existential issues, that being censorship, war and chronic disease.

[00:19:59] [SPEAKER_00]: Right.

[00:19:59] [SPEAKER_00]: So why would his presence on the ballot in the battleground states help Democrats?

[00:20:04] [SPEAKER_00]: Democrats. Well, now, because they swapped out Joe Biden in their bait and switch palace coup, now you've got the, quote, double haters, the people who didn't want either Biden or Trump.

[00:20:17] [SPEAKER_00]: You now gave them another alternative.

[00:20:20] [SPEAKER_00]: And because they double hate, you took one of the options away.

[00:20:24] [SPEAKER_00]: They still hate the other option that remains.

[00:20:29] [SPEAKER_00]: And so now you've got RFK Jr. supporters, people that were like, I don't like either of them, so I'm going to vote RFK.

[00:20:36] [SPEAKER_00]: Now they're moving.

[00:20:37] [SPEAKER_00]: They were moving to Biden.

[00:20:40] [SPEAKER_00]: And so RFK Jr. said, I don't want to be a spoiler.

[00:20:45] [SPEAKER_00]: In other words, I want to win, but I don't want to be a spoiler.

[00:20:49] [SPEAKER_00]: So in a battleground state, all I would end up doing would be to, quote, spoil that race for the two people that are running in it, even though I have no path to win.

[00:20:57] [SPEAKER_00]: Now, he did say there is a possibility, depending on how the votes shake out with the electoral college, it could actually end up in a tie.

[00:21:07] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, 269 to 269 electoral votes.

[00:21:12] [SPEAKER_00]: And if that happened, then it would go to the House, right?

[00:21:20] [SPEAKER_00]: So there is a possibility that that could happen, that if neither of the major party candidates get to 270, then it gets thrown to the House of Representatives.

[00:21:31] [SPEAKER_00]: So he says that's a possibility.

[00:21:35] [SPEAKER_00]: It could happen.

[00:21:35] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't think it would, but it could.

[00:21:39] [SPEAKER_00]: What about North Carolina?

[00:21:41] [SPEAKER_00]: State Board of Elections said that the We the People Party, RFK's party, has not informed the state board of any plans to change its nomination here in our state.

[00:21:51] [SPEAKER_00]: According to the Carolina Journal, state board said that if the paperwork is officially filed to remove Kennedy from the ballot, they would have to consider whether it's a practical thing to do to remove his name from the ballots and reprint ballots at that time.

[00:22:07] [SPEAKER_00]: Because almost 30 of the 100 counties of our state have already started printing the ballots.

[00:22:15] [SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, if the state, I mean, the state board of elections, you'll recall, is controlled by Democrats because Roy Cooper sued.

[00:22:24] [SPEAKER_00]: Roy Cooper sued in order to maintain complete control over the appointment to the state board of elections and to have it comprised of a majority of Democrats.

[00:22:34] [SPEAKER_00]: The legislature tried to revamp the board of elections to make it bipartisan.

[00:22:39] [SPEAKER_00]: Roy Cooper sued in order to protect democracy, obviously.

[00:22:45] [SPEAKER_00]: Roy Cooper.

[00:22:45] [SPEAKER_00]: I've got some other data here.

[00:22:47] [SPEAKER_00]: This is from a website called splitticket.org.

[00:22:52] [SPEAKER_00]: And they're talking about the Senate seats.

[00:22:55] [SPEAKER_00]: And this is going to be of vital importance.

[00:22:59] [SPEAKER_00]: Because if Kamala Harris wins, she is going to likely attempt to do the things that she has said she wants to do.

[00:23:08] [SPEAKER_00]: Despite the fact that unnamed anonymous sources from the campaign say, oh, she reversed herself on that.

[00:23:14] [SPEAKER_00]: She doesn't believe that anymore.

[00:23:16] [SPEAKER_00]: We haven't heard her say that.

[00:23:18] [SPEAKER_00]: And we haven't heard her say why she has changed her view.

[00:23:21] [SPEAKER_00]: For example, on eliminating all private insurance, health insurance.

[00:23:25] [SPEAKER_00]: She said she would be for a Medicare for all, which is socialized medicine.

[00:23:29] [SPEAKER_00]: That is the elimination of private health insurance.

[00:23:34] [SPEAKER_00]: So now she says or her campaign surrogates say that she's not for that.

[00:23:38] [SPEAKER_00]: We don't know why.

[00:23:39] [SPEAKER_00]: We don't know what changed.

[00:23:41] [SPEAKER_00]: And we're supposed to believe that, even though we haven't heard her say that.

[00:23:45] [SPEAKER_00]: So I don't believe that to be the case.

[00:23:47] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't.

[00:23:49] [SPEAKER_00]: Just like I did not believe the lie of the year when Obama told it, which was if you like your doctor and you like your plan, you can keep them.

[00:23:57] [SPEAKER_00]: Because that didn't happen either.

[00:23:59] [SPEAKER_00]: News Talk 1110-993-WBT.

[00:24:02] [SPEAKER_00]: If you want to send me an email, it's Pete at the Pete Calendar Show dot com.

[00:24:07] [SPEAKER_00]: Message from Mark, who says, it's interesting how the media portrays RFK Jr.

[00:24:12] [SPEAKER_00]: You listen to his words.

[00:24:13] [SPEAKER_00]: He's quite lucid and reminiscent of his father and uncle in speak in being able to or being an able and proficient speaker.

[00:24:22] [SPEAKER_00]: There we go.

[00:24:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.

[00:24:23] [SPEAKER_00]: No, it's I agree.

[00:24:24] [SPEAKER_00]: Like if you read his words and listen to what he's saying and you can sort of tune out the, you know, the problems that he's got with his vocal cords.

[00:24:33] [SPEAKER_00]: It's.

[00:24:35] [SPEAKER_00]: It's a very powerful speech.

[00:24:39] [SPEAKER_00]: And the more I listen to his voice, the more my mind just kind of tunes it out.

[00:24:43] [SPEAKER_00]: It's like watching a foreign film, you know, and you're reading the subtitles.

[00:24:47] [SPEAKER_00]: And at first it's kind of awkward and you're like, ah, it's frustrating.

[00:24:50] [SPEAKER_00]: But then eventually you kind of just like something clicks in the brain and then you're just kind of following along easily enough.

[00:24:59] [SPEAKER_00]: And I got a message from Larry who said, I really liked what he had to say.

[00:25:03] [SPEAKER_00]: Although his comments went on for 45 minutes or so, it did not seem nearly that long.

[00:25:08] [SPEAKER_00]: Much different than, say, President Trump, although I voted for him the last two times and I will do so again.

[00:25:12] [SPEAKER_00]: I have thought for some time there are common sense issues or common issues rather on the right and left that can bring together a new coalition.

[00:25:19] [SPEAKER_00]: And I'm excited about the possibilities of all this coming together.

[00:25:22] [SPEAKER_00]: Some issues that can unite concerns with all the biggies like big tech, big health, big egg.

[00:25:28] [SPEAKER_00]: The onerous intelligence complex and use of government to silence and intimidate.

[00:25:33] [SPEAKER_00]: Use of things like digital currency, spying on us in our cars with smart meters in our homes, et cetera.

[00:25:39] [SPEAKER_00]: Misuse of pandemics, bringing another side of the abortion equation into play, namely things like incentivizing adoption and support of the mother.

[00:25:48] [SPEAKER_00]: Domination and propping up of banks that are too big to fail.

[00:25:53] [SPEAKER_00]: Health consequences of the destruction of the small farmer and horrific agricultural practices.

[00:26:00] [SPEAKER_00]: And you're right, I never thought about it, but I seem to not be cognizant of his voice challenges the more I listen to him.

[00:26:07] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I just I noticed it while I was listening the other day.

[00:26:12] [SPEAKER_00]: So split ticket dot org.

[00:26:15] [SPEAKER_00]: This cycle, Republicans need to gain two seats to win an outright majority in the Senate with three red state seats up for grabs in Montana, West Virginia and Ohio.

[00:26:26] [SPEAKER_00]: The Democratic majority looks more imperiled than ever, especially with the rise in polarization and the presence of Donald Trump on the ballot.

[00:26:34] [SPEAKER_00]: Today, we're introducing our quantitative Senate model.

[00:26:37] [SPEAKER_00]: This model accounts for spending, incumbency, partisanship, polling and a past and I'm sorry, past over performance to assemble probabilistic estimates of each Senate race.

[00:26:51] [SPEAKER_00]: While there are a few differences, this is largely similar to the model that they have for the House of Representatives.

[00:26:57] [SPEAKER_00]: The forecast finds Republicans favored in 51 seats with Democrats favored in 48.

[00:27:06] [SPEAKER_00]: In our simulations, Republicans hold the Senate 84 percent of the time.

[00:27:13] [SPEAKER_00]: Ohio, they say, remains too close to call.

[00:27:17] [SPEAKER_00]: If results in Montana and West Virginia swing the way of Republicans, though, if they can hold serve also in Texas and Florida.

[00:27:25] [SPEAKER_00]: Right. So was it Scott down in Florida and Ted Cruz in Texas?

[00:27:30] [SPEAKER_00]: Keep those two seats that they're defending.

[00:27:34] [SPEAKER_00]: Montana, which is what John Tester, I believe he's an underdog against Tim Sheehy.

[00:27:41] [SPEAKER_00]: And then West Virginia with Joe Manchin's retirement.

[00:27:46] [SPEAKER_00]: West Virginia is a R plus 40 state.

[00:27:51] [SPEAKER_00]: Right. So that looks like a pickup, too.

[00:27:53] [SPEAKER_00]: And so that could do it.

[00:27:55] [SPEAKER_00]: Differences in candidate quality in states like Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada mean that even on a night when Trump wins those states at the top of the ticket in the presidential race,

[00:28:07] [SPEAKER_00]: the Democrat candidates for the Senate might also comfortably win their races.

[00:28:13] [SPEAKER_00]: Most apparent?

[00:28:14] [SPEAKER_00]: Arizona, a toss up state where liberal Democratic Representative Ruben Gallego has opened up a lead over Carrie Lane.

[00:28:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Lake. In Pennsylvania as well, Republicans have raised a bunch of money, but they're trying to get trying to unseat Senator Bob Casey.

[00:28:33] [SPEAKER_00]: But their model, this model currently rates a likely Democratic race for Pennsylvania and Casey's solid polling in the leads in his polling leads have not budged.

[00:28:46] [SPEAKER_00]: They could break down different states.

[00:28:48] [SPEAKER_00]: They go into their, you know, methodology.

[00:28:51] [SPEAKER_00]: But they conclude by saying that control of the Senate in all likelihood will come down to whoever can win the Montana Senate seat.

[00:28:59] [SPEAKER_00]: Right. So if you're looking for races to keep an eye on Montana.

[00:29:04] [SPEAKER_00]: Montana Senate.

[00:29:05] [SPEAKER_00]: Currently, Republicans are 75 percent favorites to flip that seat with businessmen and former Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy and John Tester, a clear underdog in a state that is Republican.

[00:29:18] [SPEAKER_00]: There's an R plus 16.

[00:29:20] [SPEAKER_00]: At 16 points.

[00:29:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Percentage points.

[00:29:23] [SPEAKER_00]: And there has been a historical declining trend in ticket splitting.

[00:29:30] [SPEAKER_00]: And that has hurt red state Democrats in the past decade.

[00:29:36] [SPEAKER_00]: And this matters because Chuck Schumer is doing us a favor.

[00:29:40] [SPEAKER_00]: Rich Lowry writes at the New York Post.

[00:29:42] [SPEAKER_00]: He is of the National Review, though.

[00:29:45] [SPEAKER_00]: He said a lot of times parties will try to obscure or deny their radical plans prior to an election.

[00:29:50] [SPEAKER_00]: But the Senate majority leader is being more candid.

[00:29:52] [SPEAKER_00]: In a session with reporters at the Democrat National Convention, Schumer suggested that should Democrats win the White House, the Senate and the House, he would seek to end the filibuster for purposes of passing voting rights, quote unquote, and abortion legislation.

[00:30:10] [SPEAKER_00]: He says, but Lowry says the end run around the Senate's longstanding requirement for 60 votes to pass nonfiscal legislation might begin with voting rights and abortion, but it's not going to end there.

[00:30:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Right.

[00:30:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Why?

[00:30:24] [SPEAKER_00]: Why not Medicare for all or the Green New Deal?

[00:30:27] [SPEAKER_00]: Once it has been breached.

[00:30:29] [SPEAKER_00]: Right.

[00:30:30] [SPEAKER_00]: Any group of Democrat senators that wants a particular bill would demand that its pet cause get exempted to.

[00:30:37] [SPEAKER_00]: And left wing interest groups would also insist on getting equal treatment.

[00:30:42] [SPEAKER_00]: Right.

[00:30:42] [SPEAKER_00]: If Planned Parenthood gets a carve out for national abortion legislation, why wouldn't the unions for all of their priorities?

[00:30:48] [SPEAKER_00]: The appetite grows with eating.

[00:30:52] [SPEAKER_00]: How about making Puerto Rico, Washington, D.C.?

[00:30:55] [SPEAKER_00]: Make them states.

[00:30:57] [SPEAKER_00]: Right.

[00:30:57] [SPEAKER_00]: And then you can get more electoral votes.

[00:31:01] [SPEAKER_00]: And then you've got a permanent majority.

[00:31:03] [SPEAKER_00]: Right.

[00:31:04] [SPEAKER_00]: Once you do this, there is no going back.

[00:31:06] [SPEAKER_00]: And that means Democrats have to hold power in perpetuity lest they reap what they sow.

[00:31:14] [SPEAKER_00]: Brett Winterbull's up next.

[00:31:15] [SPEAKER_00]: Stick around.

[00:31:15] [SPEAKER_00]: I'll see you tomorrow.

[00:31:16] [SPEAKER_00]: Don't break anything while I'm gone.

[00:31:18] [SPEAKER_00]: All right.

[00:31:21] [SPEAKER_00]: That'll do it for this episode.

[00:31:22] [SPEAKER_00]: Thank you so much for listening.

[00:31:24] [SPEAKER_00]: I could not do the show without your support and the support of the businesses that advertise on the podcast.

[00:31:29] [SPEAKER_00]: So if you'd like, please support them, too, and tell them you heard it here.

[00:31:32] [SPEAKER_00]: You can also become a patron at my Patreon page or go to thepetecalendershow.com.

[00:31:37] [SPEAKER_00]: Again, thank you so much for listening.

[00:31:39] [SPEAKER_00]: And don't break anything while I'm gone.