Population trends spell disaster for Dems (08-26-2025--Hour3)

What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon to three on WBT Radio in Charlotte. And if you want exclusive content like invitations to events, the weekly live stream, my daily show prep with all the links, become a patron, go to dpeteclendershow dot com. Make sure you hit the subscribe button. Get every episode for free right to your smartphone or tablet, And again, thank you so much for your support. Taylor Swift got engaged to Travis Kelce. Everybody just thought you should know. Everybody wants me to know, so I'm letting you know. I feel it's part of the job. Jason tweets at me it's a Pete tweet regarding Taylor Swift. Jim Comey must be over the moon excited. That's good less gosh, imagine what Jim Colemy's Swifty text group is saying. Really, what is there to say? I could ask Nick, but I will not cross that personal boundary. But like, I'm like, how do you okay? So Nick is saying that his phone is blowing up from all of the people talking about this, But what is there really to say? They've been dating for a while and now they're getting engaged and it's like, okay, cool. What else is there to say? Are they saying anything like of import. No, it's just my family. The girls are just so excited. Right, but what are they But what are they saying? Like, I'm so excited? Hard heart? They didn't believe that it was happening, so they had to call influential members of the media, such as yourself. To check they They did not call me, Well. They called me and asked me to ask you. Oh okay, but you already knew that because I had already broken the news. So are they aware how a radio works? Because they could have just been listening to the show, well, and then they would have known as soon as I found out on social media, and then I would have I would have been the one to report that. All they're saying is I'm so excited exactly, and they just can't hide it. It's so excited. It's probably going to be a party tonight at our house because of this. Why, I don't know, I do. I don't understand. Look, I just got to say, like, best of luck to Travis Kelcey, because dude, I'm not sure if you're aware of this or not. There's a there's a bit of a your fiance has a bit of a reputation that if the relationship doesn't work out, it's not going to go well for you. In song, okay, so just best of luck, I do. I wish them all the best. I don't want anything bad to happen to like good for them. I don't know what her songs are going to be about, though, because hasn't she been kind of like cosplaying as a fourteen year old heartbroken girl for the last twenty years. I don't know. I'm not look I don't mean anything by that. It's just a joke. People don't send the swifties on me, don't swiftly vote me. All right, So what's today? It's a day that ends in why So we have a new story about the democrats existential threat when it comes to winning elections. Yes, another story indeed. So here is a piece in The New York Times by Nick Carrasanitti Carrassani Ti Anyway, Jeff Adelson, a Reno Cabreros, and Charlie Smart. The year is twenty thirty two. Studying the Electoral College map, a Democratic presidential candidate can no longer plan to sweep New Hampshire, Minnesota, eh and the blue Wall battlegrounds of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin and then expect to win the White House. So do you hear that? So a Democrat If in twenty thirty two, if a Democrat candidate for president wins New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and even if they pick up Nevada, they still don't win. Those were their blue wall states, what they called it, the blue wall. Right will never will never lose to a Republican in these states. Well, you've lost in all the others, and so now your blue wall is more like a curb. If you will, like, just step right over that thing. That is the nightmare scenario many Democratic Party insiders see playing out if US population projections hold. So this is what the story is based off of population projections. In the next decade, the electoral college will tilt significantly away from Democrats. You got deeply conservative Texas, you got Florida, and they could gain a total of five seats. Red states of Utah and Idaho are also expected to add a seat. So now you're up to seven seats, and those gains come at the expense of major Democrat states like New York and California. Midwestern states like Minnesota and Pennsylvania could also lose a seat. So they run a bunch of these permutations, and they were using a population projection software by SRI. It's a non partisan company. They do mapping software and democratic demographic data. Okay, businesses, governments use this program apparently all over the world. And so what they do is they plug in all of these different permutations and they find out, Okay, what are the paths to victory for a Democrat president to win the Electoral College votes necessary to win the presidency, and of the twenty five most plausible paths to victory in twenty twenty four, so last year there were twenty five paths. Fast forward to twenty thirty two, and only five of those now remain. That's due to the population shifts projected population shifts. The Democrat Party already faces acute challenges after its disastrous losses in twenty twenty four, including fundraising woes and electorate that slid decidedly to the right, a vacuum of leadership, and a sharp decline in voter registrations. And we've talked about all of these topics. Well, I don't know if I've covered the fundraising. I've got hang on a second. Let me let me do a little side quest here. Jonathan Turley writing at his website Jonathanturley dot org. He's a constitutional law guy, believe it, George Washington University, if I remember correctly, he talks about a story that Axios did that showed the Democrat National Committee the DNC continued to pay off the debts from former Vice President Kamala Harris's presidential campaign. More than fifteen million dollars has already been paid out by the DNC, which is reportedly struggling to raise money in the aftermath of that failed campaign. Axios described it as a private agreement that was not disclosed to donors who apparently unknowingly contributed to the Harris campaign rather than the campaigns to retake the House and the Senate. The question is whether such private agreements are lawful if they're not disclosed to the donors. Harris, you may recall, shocked many in burning through more than one and a half billion dollars during her brief fifteen week campaign donors were irate over wasteful and excessive spending by Harris and her campaign that has contributed to the poor fundraising figures reported from the DNC. He goes on to say later in this post, what's particularly shocking is that Axios reports in the first six months of the year the DNC spent more than fifteen million on her debts. But Politico is reporting the DNC has only raised fifteen million as of the end of June. So like all the money they have raised in six months, fifteen million, that's it, fifteen million? Republicans what have they raised? Eighty million? So yeah, fundraising woes. We mentioned the other day the decline in voter registrations North Carolina is a really good example of what's happening to the Democrats. I think the data was that thirty states that allow voters to register by party. In every single one of those states, Democrats have lost registered voters and Republicans gained them. Yeah. Yeah, there are sirens going off all over the place for the Democrats, and I am here for it. All Right, So you've heard me talk about creative video for almost a year, but did you know they also offer a game changing app for businesses that reward their teams with incentive trips, well they do. It's called incentive trip Kit. If you want a business or work at one that offers these incentive trips, this is a must have. It maximizes the impact and value of these motivational trips. It's a super easy to use app built just for your group, with private messaging, shared photos, important trip documents, even a find the group locator just in case somebody gets separated. And when I say it's private, I mean it. No personal emails, no phone numbers, no ads, no account sign ups. Everyone uses one shared login, so it's super easy, no hassles. During the trip, everybody can post their best photos and short video clips, and folks back at the office can even follow along. And then after the trip, Incentive trip Kit turns those memories into a professional storytelling video you can use to motivate, inspire, and get people fired up for next year's trip. More fun, more memories, more ROI check it out now at incentive tripkit dot com or call Eric at eight eight eight five three three seventy six thirty seven Extension two O seven for the details. Seth writes in on the text line I'm so interested in the Swifty Kelsey thing. Do you think, uh, did Travis Kelcey propose or did she? I don't know. It's a good question. I'm thinking he did. I'm guessing he'd but I don't. I don't know. Look, I've exhausted all of my knowledge of this announcement, okay, and I'm comfortable with that. Kim says, thank you so much for the Swifty update. Now I can sleep without the anticipation. Oh crap, wait, will the wedding beyond CNN and DESBN? The anxiety starts anew. Do you think they're gonna go like royal wedding treatment on this thing? Do you think the Yeah? Do you think CNN will cover it? Are they gonna carry it live? Or do they do the you know, private wedding not publicly viewable, the kind of a thing. I don't know. They could. They could sell tickets and do it in Arrowhead Stadium, right, they could probably pack that place and then she does a concert and stuff. All right, So back to this piece at the New York Times. The headline is how the electoral College could tilt further from Democrats amid redistricting and population shifts. Now. They do talk in this article about the redistricting fight, you know, with Texas and California, and we'll see if other states jump in on this, but I'm not going to go over that stuff. I've covered the redistricting stuff and we'll see how it shakes out. The focus I'm keeping here is on the population trends, because there's only going to be so much that state legislatures can do based off of the population trend. If your state loses a million people in a decade, that's a congressional seat. You're going to lose a seat someplace. So if you lose a Republican seat, well, you would have probably just redrawn that seat out anyway. I like, if the Republicans leave, then you would just swallow that area up with a blue district anyway, right, you're going to lose the seat. So that's why the population trend data is I think more important for the twenty thirty census and what happens with that. The Democratic Party already faces these other challenges, as I mentioned. The article goes on to say the dire post census projections put the party in a bind between two necessary tasks. Investing to win in the short term, including the midterms next year, and building a future in states that have not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate in decades. And this is always a challenge if you know, for both parties, you're in a state, then you're you know you're not going to win. How much money do you pour into that state when you know you're not going to get those Electoral College votes right, And it's very easy for a party with limited resources. I mean, there is a limit. It's a lot, but there's it's not infinite. So they have to make spending decisions on where to put the money. And so they're going to try to put the money in the states where they have a chance to win, but that comes at the expense of building up party infrastructure, doing you know, get out the vote stuff, candidate meet and greets and whatever like. Building that party infrastructure at the state level is sacrificed by trying to win the next election. So that's the jam they are in. Also, their brand is pretty toxic. The New York Times calls this an existential threat, which, by the way, that is on the word list, that's on the blacklisted terms list. I went over this yesterday but I was spilling in for Brett, so if you were listening live on the radio, you did not hear me and my truly insightful analysis of this piece. So I will just give you sort of the highlights of this which is also out of Politico. Can Democrats talk their way out of the wilderness? They got a new memo went out from a center left think tank called Third Way, and they list forty five words and phrases they want Democrats to avoid using because they say it puts a wall between us and everyday people of all races, religions, and ethnicities. Which is what is that an admission of that they are not They are not able to talk to normies. They can't talk to us because of these words that they use. And by the way, the words that they are using are words that they made up in order to make us stop saying things and talk the way they do. And now they're surprised that they can't communicate with us because we don't want to use your words. And when we hear you use those words, we think, oh yeah no, and you just kind of pat them on the head like, oh you're you're one of those people. So what are the words among the list of blacklisted terms privilege, violence as in environmental violence, dialoguing, triggering, othering, microaggression, holding space, body shaming, subverting norms, systems of oppression, cultural appropriation, overton window, existential threat, which was just used by the New York Times, OO, radical transparency, stakeholders, the unhoused, food insecurity, housing insecurity, person who immigrated, birthing person cis gender dead naming, heteronormative patriarchy, LGBTQIA plus, bipoc allyship, incarcerated people, involuntary confinement. Okay, So, in other words, the advice from the center left think tank Third Way two Democrats is just stop talking and just shut up, because you guys can't you can't use these terms. I don't know what you're going to be able to talk about if you can't use these words, because they've just adopted this vocabulary which came out of the universities. So back to the New York Times. Peace. On the population trends. You got Texas in Florida, they are expanding their states populations by nearly thirteen percent. What is the fastest growing Democrat state. Here's a great idea, how about making an escape to a really special and secluded getaway in western North Carolina. Just a quick drive up the mount and Cabins of Asheville is your connection. 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Cabins of Ashville has the ideal spot for you for any occasion, and they have pet friendly accommodations call or text eight two eight, three six seven seventy sixty eight or check out all there is to offer at cabins Ofashville dot com and make memories that'll last a lifetime. Already, So the New York Times reporting on the population projections and how they're going to impact the electoral College. Also, yes, the apportionment of the House seats and such, but you never know how those lines are going to get drawn. But you can make projections on which states are going to likely get carried by Republicans or Democrats and so they will get those electoral College votes, and then you can chart out like what does a Democrat need to do to win enough electoral College votes to become president? And Texas and Florida they're expanding their state populations by nearly thirteen percent. The fastest growing Democrat state is well, hang on, Nick and Isaac, would either of you like to take a stab at what is the fastest growing Democrat state? Nick? Minnesota? Isaac? What say you, sir? I'll lock in Minnesota. I'm gonna go ahead and jump on with Nick. Really, this is not Price's right rules, okay, and you're both wrong. It's Colorado. Colorado, is the fastest growing Democrat state. It will expand its population by less than ten percent, less than ten percent. So you got Florida and Texas growing at thirteen and you've got Colorado growing at less than ten and that's the fastest. New York and Illinois are both expected to shrink by twenty thirty. California's population, they're projecting will stay the same, but I'm not really so sure about that, depending on how many illegal aliens Trump can get rid of and how many will self deport. Projections indicate that Republican states could gain seven electoral votes after twenty thirty. Democrat states would lose seven electoral votes. They would come from California, Illinois, New York, and Rhode Island, which I kind of feel bad about because it's such a small state. It's actually a commonwealth. It actually has like the longest name. It's the smallest state with the longest name. So they've got four They have four electoral College votes right now, which I was shocked to find that out. That'll go down to three, so they're going to lose one. That's the projection. So that's where the seven losses come from. California, Illinois, New York and Rhode Island. The Republicans pick up Texas, Florida, Idaho, Utah battleground states, Arizona picks up electoral college vote, and Georgia picks up one. Minnesota loses one, so they did not Minnesota did not grow my poor guessing producers, Minnesota is expected to lose one of the electoral votes and Pennsylvania expected to lose one as well. So should the projections hold, there is hope for Democrats. One hope for Democrats is to do what seems, at least after last year, a bit impossible. Okay, but here's the idea. And I always say there are no bad ideas under the cone of creativity. Right, we're just spitballing here, people like blue Sky, this bad boy. Let's come up with some ideas. How can Democrats win the presidency? Pivot to the south, cozy on up to the Southerners. I mean, I know we had a hammer lock on, you know, all of these states for like a century plus. We may have been doing a bunch of that clan activity and that sort of thing too, But okay, and I know, I know recently we've called y'all like secessionists, and insurrectionists and racists and clansmen and all that. But can I interest you in some LGBTQ plus two IA doctrine? No? Okay? Can I interest you in some dudes beating up on women in. A boxing ring? How about that? No, it's not okay. How about dirty porn books for your little kids in the school libraries. No, that not either. Okay. So this would mean turning states like Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Louisiana into competitive battlegrounds. This is what they're looking at. Desperate times here, people, desperate times. Okay, sorry, we're gonna look to the south. We got Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, and we got our work cut out because Trump won all of those states by more than twenty points. So I mean it's a very big that is landslide territory. By the way, double digits is landslide, so it's a double landslide. Mississippi, they point out, has the highest percentage of black voting age adults in the country. So even even in this analysis, they still cannot break free of the racial politics of the identity politics here because they why are they looking to the south. They look to the South and they see black people, They're like, oh, we could get them based solely on the color of their skin. So it's a bold strategy, Cotton. We'll see if it works. Twenty twenty four showed democrats that demographics no longer spell the party's destiny. That's what they thought, That's what Democrats have thought for a very long time. They bought into this belief that demographics is destiny, that we can just completely abandon all the working class white voters because we're looking at the demographics and the projections and it looks like we are importing a lot of Hispanic people and we have a growing population of black people, and so when you put those together, we just peel off the college kids, the faux elites, and then we don't need the working class white people, so they're the oppressors. But it didn't work out that way. Yeah, slight problem. Apparently a lot of the Latino voters they don't like what you've been selling, and so they started voting for Trump, which is weird because I heard he hates Latinos. So they started voting for him in bigger numbers. Also, you're going to have to spend money to try to make inroads in these southern states, and they don't have any or they don't have much. All Right, if you're listening to this show, you know I try to keep up with all sorts of current events, and I know you do too. And you've probably heard me say get your news from multiple sources. Why Well, because it's how you detect media bias, which is why I've been so impressed with ground News. It's an app, and it's a website, and it combines news from around the world in one place so you can compare coverage and verify information. You can check it out at check dot ground, dot news slash pete. I put the link in the podcast description too. I started using ground News a few months ago and more recently chose to work with them as an affiliate because it lets me see clearly how stories get covered and by whom. The blind spot feature shows you which stories get ignored by the left and the right. See for yourself check dot ground, dot news slash pete. Subscribe through that link and you'll get fifteen percent off any subscription. I use the Vantage plan to get unlimited access to every feature. Your subscription then not only helps my podcast, but It also supports ground news as they make the media landscape more transparent. From the text line, Mark wants to know if a Republican president ever won California. I think Reagan did, but I'm not sure. Well, you are correct, Mark, Ronald Reagan did carry California, if I recall correctly, twice in eighty and eighty four. Definitely in eighty four because he wiped out Mondale, right like Mondale carried one state, his home state of Minnesota. Eh Stan says. The Democrats basically have no hope on you, because once you've lost Snoop Dogg, you're done. Yeah, even Snoop Dogg is mad at Disney now talking about the cultural rot. I know Snoop Dogg of all people. Okay, remember Pete. It's not the message, it's the delivery of the message that the Dems can't figure out, right, right, That's it, Democrats. It's never the policy. I always highlight this fact. Democrats really do believe that. It's not their policies. It's the way they pitch those policies that just doesn't seem to break through with you stupid people. Let me rule you. So I think as long as they keep thinking that I don't think they're going to improve in their electoral prospects. Back to the New York Times story, cash remains scarce after spending billions on the twenty twenty four defeat in the presidential race, a record sum is actually three billion dollars. Democrats spent three billion dollars to lose in such fantastic fashion, record sum roughly equivalent to the gross domestic product of a small country. Top officials have discussed whether they might need to borrow money this year to keep paying the bills, which is actually very on brand for Democrats not being able to prudently budget. That does make a bit of sense. Ken Martin is the party chairman. He has initiated a program where he's going to be writing checks to the state parties, and he's going to prioritize conservative states over safer Democrat territory. So if you're a blue state, you're going to get seventeen five hundred dollars every month, seventeen to five every month for a blue state. If you're a red state, you're going to get five grand. More than that, you're going to get twenty two to five every month from the DNC, who is apparently going to borrow the money and to pay to keep the lights on while they're stroking checks for the state parties. And so this goes to this idea that Martin is like, we need to be more competitive, we need to build the infrastructure in these red states, which is going to be difficult when they're being advised to stop talking. I don't know how you're going to go out and make your pitch to voters if you're not allowed, basically to use any of the language that you have adopted over the last ten to fifteen years. Third Way is the center left think tank that put out this memo with the forty five words and phrases they want Democrats to avoid using. They say, we are doing our best to get Democrats to talk like normal people. Gosh, they are so close to getting this, so they're right on the brink. They're so close. You're trying think about what you just said. We are doing our best to get Democrats to talk like normal people. Ergo, let's use some logic here, right, Democrats don't talk like normal people. This is the problem. We think language is one of the central problems we face with normy voters signaling that we are out of touch with how they live, how they think, and how they talk. And again, perfectly reasonable explanation for this. It's because you are out of touch with how they live and how they think and how they talk. That's why you're out of touch. That's why people think you're out of touch. They go on to say the Democrat part brand is toxic across the country at this point, with way too many people enough that there's no way for us to win a governing majority without changing that. We are sticking to messages that were so overly scripted that they basically sounded like nothing. This is what they think is the problem. They're too scripted. They're overly scripted. No, no, when you call women chest feeders like that may be a script or it may not be a script. It's not overly scripting. It's just dumb assery. Okay, stop being stupid. There's my free advice. I'm not even in a think tank. All right, that'll do it for this episode. Thank you so much for listening. I could not do the show without your support and the support of the businesses that advertise on the podcast, so if you'd like, please support them too and tell them you heard it here. You can also become a patron at my Patreon page or go to dpetekalanershow dot com. Again, thank you so much for listening, and don't break anything while I'm gone.