On primaries and polls | Hour 1

What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon to three on WBT Radio in Charlotte. And if you want exclusive content like invitations to events, the weekly live stream, my daily show prep with all of the links, become a patron, go to dpekclendershow dot com. Make sure you hit the subscribe button. Get every episode for free right to your smartphone or tablet, and again, thank you so much for your support. All Right, So we had a bunch of primary elections yesterday across the fruited plane and the non fruited plane parts as well, and some surprises and some non surprises. One of the big big surprises I thought huge, you might say, was Old Jimmy Fishback. I don't think he's a mafioso, but he I mean, you call him Jimmy Fishback and it does sound kind of like that. But Anywayimmy Fishback. He pulled in eighty nine percent of the vote in the Florida State University Precinct. So at FSU old Jimmy Fishback running for GOVNA of Florida in a crowded Republican primary field and Old Jimmy Fishback pulls in eighty nine percent of the ute vote on FSU's campus in their precinct. It's just it's amazing. Jimmy Fishback recently was last seen making a tour of podcast astan, you know, doing all of the requisite appearances on Tucker Carlson. I believe he was endorsed by the Nazi podcaster or Nazi caster as I call. Him, Dan Bilzarian. So you get the flavor of this guy. He's horseshoe right, woke, right, whatever you want to call them, Jimmy Fishback. So this is supposed to tell us that, sorry, everybody, but fascism is the that's the wave of the future in the Republican Party. That's just where all the utes are going. They're going towards the Nazis. I mean, how else do you explain eighty nine percent of the vote in the FSU precinct. Well, here's one way. He got twenty five votes. That's one way. That is one way to explain it. There. Yeah, he got eighty nine percent of the votes because like twenty eight people voted because school's not in session, so nobody was there. As a comm specialist, Erica Knight points out FSU has over forty six thousand students. Twenty eight people voted in this precinct. Jimmy Fishback got twenty five. She says, quote, he did not capture the youth vote. He captured a group chat. So there was that he did not win. By the way, he got absolutely smoked by Byron Donalds, the congressman. He won that seed. He pulled in more than what forty eight percent of the GOP primary vote. Trump did endorse him, by the way, and he is seen as sort of the the air apparent to Ron DeSantis now that he has cleared the primary, although some are saying that well, he should have won by even more. It's like, guys, there was like four thousand people running in the primary. Okay, you got Jay Collins, Byron Donalds, Jimmy Fishback, Jim Holcombe, Arthur Joseph McCaffrey. I think that was the former Carolina Panther running back, Daniel Nokovich, the tennis player Paul Renner, Rachel Rodriguez, James Shaw. Canestsuki, They'll say suki, Bobby Williams. I mean there was a ton of people, okay, a ton of people running in the GOP primary, So Byron Donalds, he clears that. Meanwhile, he leaves his congressional seat Byron Donalds does. That's the Florida nineteenth Congressional district, and according to Jeffrey Blair at National Review, the district's voters emphatically rejected Trump's endorsement of Carpetbagger and two time Illinois loser Katalina louf or Lauf, who instead tanked tonight against the relatively unknown fella named Jimmy Schwartzel. That's Schwartzel. Sometimes like, look, he can be congressman. With a name like Schwartzel, you can be a congressman. I'm just. I like, if I don't think like there are certain names that just don't lend themselves well to national races, you know. And no, it's not because it. Sounds like he's he's on the Jewish payroll or something. It's not that it just has a sound to it. You know. There are certain last names, and look, Calender is one of them. Nobody like that is not a name that could win an election on its own. You know, you get Kennedy like that's a that's a name that can win you know, you have, you know, you end up with these names and it's not your fault, and I get it, and it's unfortunate. It's like, attractive people do better, Taller people do better in politics because voters are fickle. Right. So Jim Schwartzel he wins the GOP primary for the nineteenth district. Oh and he also beat out Madison Cawthorn. Remember him. He of the gun toting in. Airports, multiple speeding tickets, failure to appear dressed in lingerie, talked about Orgies videos with him unclothed. In hotel rooms with his cousin. Anyway, So yeah, that guy, Madison Cawthorne, he's living down in Florida, has been for a while, ever since he lost his reelection bid back in twenty twenty two to Chuck Edwards. Remember that guy. Yeah, so he's not running again anyway. So Cawthorn finished in the single digits. Apparently, Schwartzel's primary qualification was that he is actually from Florida, So everybody else is not. Everybody that he was running against was not. Apparently, So Schwartzel is the man for the GOP in Florida's fighting nineteenth district but by far the most amusing outcome hails from the other side of the Aisle Democratic primary to fill the remainder of Marco Rubio's Senate term. Okay, because the seat is currently being occupied by Ashley Moody. Ashley Moody was appointed to fill the remainder of the term when Marco Rubio became Secretary of State. Okay, so they still do have an election for this, But this was a primary for the general election, and the leading Democratic candidate in the Democrat race was Alexander Vinman, Remember that guy. I'm like, yeah, starting to feel like these are like cameo appearances by like in the old sitcoms, there would be a recurring character or something, and then they try to maybe like have them like come back years later and nobody really remembers who they are something, or maybe they give them a spin off and it just doesn't go anywhere, you know, I get the sense. Anyway, So Alexander Vinman, who is I have seen reported on the Twitter machine when he apparently called to concede because he lost. He called to concede defeat to his Democrat opponent and recorded the phone conversation. And now there's an impeachment investigation underway, it would call Vinman was the guy who divulged the quote perfect phone call as Trump called it, with Vladimir Zelensky, which led to Trump's first impeachment. That Alexander Vinman retired US Army colonel whose involvement with the Ukrainian fiasco during Trump's first term led directly to the president's first impeachment and became a defining moment in the so called resistance narrative. He raised, I believe what would be classified as a metric buttload of money sixteen point five million dollars to run statewide for the seat, and he lost. He got squashed and the woman he lost to who boy? All right? For over a year now you've heard me talking about Create a video. Great local company in mint Hill that has helped more than two million families preserve their memories by turning old photos, VHS, tapes, film reels and slides into lasting keepsakes. 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Yea May the schwartz will be with you, m de Helli and says it makes me so happy that Alexander Vinman lost to a commie. He thought he was going to go to Florida and reverse things. Hasn't he run for or is it his twin brother that's in Congress or something, or his wife or his sister in law something I don't remember, Hank says, as Trump might say, Vinmin lost big Ley. Indeed he did. He spent or raised I should say, over sixteen point five million dollars to run statewide for the seat. That is a vast sum of money that totaled more than the incumbent raised, Ashley Moody, and he got squashed like a bug in the primary. For all of his troubles Jeffrey Blair, and National Review says that is sixteen point five million dollars in a war chest that will now go to waste as the primary has been won by no Hoper Democratic Socialist state legislator Legislator Angie Nixon. She beat him fifty six to forty four percent. That is double digits, and that is what we call in the BIZ a landslide. The landslide will bring you down. That is, anything more than ten points is considered to be a landslide. So she wins Bigley, and she is in fact one of the moon battists of the Moonbat Commies. Out of the DSA, the big winner in the primary last night was Ashley Moody, the Republican. She wins her primary. And now she gets to go up against this nutjob who took a megaphone to the floor of the Florida State Legislature where she was out there or I guess in there screaming and protesting, just making an absolute fool of herself. So Blair says, money is no substitute for base enthusiasm in a primary, and at least one message is clear tonight. Democratic base voters are no longer moved by tales of a resistance that only brought Trump back to the presidency four years later. I think this is a I think this is a key point. This is late stage TDS, okay, because if you think about it, right, the first TDS we saw in the first term of Donald Trump, and you had this fracturing on the right. You had the never Trumpers, and they then you know, made common cause with the Democrats. Actual they started endorsing Democrats and all of this, and then Trump loses in twenty twenty, Joe Biden takes over, and for people on the left and for the never Trumpers, they were in their glory. They were like the resistance wins. Right. They were burning their handmaids, tail costumes and such. They were like time to you know, put into mothball or what is it when you do that, Like with the wedding dresses, you like vacuum seal them up and like preserve them. Like with their their costumes of female genitalia, they were like put them in the plastic and vacuum sealing them and you know, stuff them in the attic, like we're not going to need these things anymore. And then lo and behold, Trump returns. And so if you thought that your project of the resistance was why Trump lost, right, And if you thought that all of your protests in and you're marching in the streets, and your handmade tail costumes and your Genitalia costumes like and all of that stuff was the reason why Trump was ousted, then to see Trump return and return even more big lier, right, winning all of the swing states, winning the national popular vote, which doesn't actually mean anything because that's on how we elect presidents. But what does that tell you think about it from somebody who is afflicted with TDS. What message do you take away from that? Except the resistance efforts that you waged are no longer sufficient. This will not do, which then opens up the lane for the commis because they're saying, well, we're going to do even more right. Yes, Like we hate Trump, but here's the thing. We hate everything that Trump stands for. We hate everything that Trump has done with his life as a developer. He's a capitalist. We reject that, like we're rejecting. Every single thing, all of the institutions, all of the constitutional protections, and the infrastructure of our society. We reject it all because how can it be anything other than evil if it led to Donald Trump's election. So that's where the Democrat Party is, at least in this race in Florida and in several other races around the country. Now, DSA didn't win all of their races last night, but they won enough. They won enough where Democrats who are whistling past the graveyard on this thing and they think that somehow or another they're going to be able. To contain this outbreak. Just further evidence here they are absolutely delusional. Ari Fleischer, former White House Press Secretary for George W. Bush. He offered his congratulations to Republicans for quote taking out the trash. Last night, Anti Semitic candidates James Fishback and Dan Bilzarian were crushed in Florida's GOP primaries. Once again, the GOP does a good job policing itself from this awful fringe, which I should point out was funded by left wing donors, many of whom are supporting abdul l sayed Eric ericson talk show hosts in Atlanta, says, the GOP keeps rejecting anti Semites and the Democrats keep nominating them. Yeah, I remember when the left was accusing Donald Trump of being an anti Semite. Every accusation is a confession with these leftists. Also out of Florida, Corey Mills lost. All couldn't happen to a worse guy. Corey Mills lost to former news anchor Ryan Elijah by thirteen percentage points, once again a landslide, signaling voter distaste for his scandals. Yeah, he had accusations, allegations being investigated by the House Ethics Committee that had authorized more than twenty subpoenas against him, things like sexual misconduct, domestic abuse, campaign finance violations. Just not a good guy, and so he is. He is out. He lost in his primary. I mentioned Byron Donald's, congressman Donald's he won the governor's primary in the Republican Party. He will now go up against David Jolly, who I believe is an ELF but I'm not sure, but he is a Republican turned independent, Trump critic turned Democrat. And to do Oh. Then there is. Angie Nixon, who I believe was in Sex and the City, right, I think that's her. No, she is a progressive state lawmaker from Jacksonville who recently joined the Democratic Socialists of America. But had not been endorsed by the group or any of its chapters. She beat Alexander Vinman. As I mentioned earlier, By the way, a deep dive investigation into three thousand plus Senate polls over the last four election cycles by Patrick Raffini. He's a pollster at Echelon Insights, and he finds that the polls overestimated Democrats in all four cycles. Seventy three percent of polls overstate the Democrat. And it's worse right now in the summer. So keep that in mind, always beware of the polling. As I say, the Hellia says another thing, we got cursed with two Vinman's. So what happens to all of the money? Well, I think every state is different. Maybe I don't know. People ask me this all the time, and the rules of change over the years. But a lot of times people will make those donations. Well they can return the donations, or they can cycle them back through into different political campaigns and that sort of thing. They can make donations whatever wind down operations. Have a big party, they could just leave it in a war chest to run again for another office. Something like that. Steve the Lib says, Pete. Anyone still pledging their allegiance to Donald Trump cannot be taken seriously. This means you, bud, which is that. Look, that's fair. I do start the program off every single day with my pledge of allegiance to Donald Trump. I do that. I mean, I don't do it on the air, so nobody really hears it. But Steve knows. He knows that I pledge allegiance to Donald Trump. That's right. Always have, even when I was like trashing Trump in twenty fifteen and twenty sixteen, trying to can vince all of my listeners not to vote for Donald Trump. It's why I didn't vote for him the first time, just to throw people off the trail. That's why I didn't vote from the second time either, just to throw people off the trail even further. Yeah, Steve's got me dead to rights, folks. Let's see here. That's right. You can't be critical of the commis unless you are a never Trumper, I guess. But that's the funny thing is that the never trumpers aren't critical of the commis. See the deflection required to be in the Democrat Party today. Like, all you have is what about isms? That's all you have? You cannot deal with the subject. You cannot deal with the issue that you guys are being gutted right now by Marxists. You cannot deal with it. So you just want to say what about Trump? And look, I actually pity you because in two more years, I don't know what you're gonna say, Oh I do, it'll be what about Vance, what about Rubio or what about whatever Republican? That's all you have is what about isms? So good luck with that. Mark says, I wonder if the mob is still behind our voting for politicians. Nancy Pelosi's family was mobsters. I'm not following that, Mark. So the GOP keeps rejecting anti Semites while the Democrat Party embraces them and is one step away from making it a plank in their platform. I guess we should not be surprised by anything that the party that gave us the KKK does. Yes, I mean that's the thing, Like, it's very hard to shake those roots, you know. Hank says. How did Steve know that I too, pledge allegiance to Donald Trump every morning before I start work. Oh no, Steve knows us. See, Steve has this idea in his head and it is real to Steve. It is real to him. That's all he needs to know is that he thought of something and he is projecting it onto you, and that makes it true. What else do we have here to do? Oh? Surprising showing for Democrats in Pennsylvania, Washington Post reports Democrat Brandon Dukes, famously of the Hazards, held a narrow lead over Republican Scott Timcoe in a state house district that Trump carried by eighteen points in twenty twenty four. But it's still too close to call. So this was a district Trump won. This is a special election. This includes parts of Butler County, which is close to the site where Trump was shot at during a campaign rally. Although Steve would probably deny that. Tuesday's winter will complete the few months left in the term of a lawmaker who stepped down, So there is that. And also Senator Dan Sullivan in Alaska and former Representative Mary Peltola Democrat have advanced to the general election in Alaska Senate race. This is their ranked choice stupid system that they run out there. And meanwhile, the DOJ has a subpoenaed another Dan Sullivan. One other primary, Yeah, one of the primary race to go over is out of Alaska, where they have that really ridiculous, stupid rank choice system. So you've got Senator Dan Sullivan US Senator, incumbent Republican, will face off against Mary Peltola, Democrat in the general election. Two additional candidates who finished lower in the primary will also make the general election ballot because this is the ranked choice system where everybody runs together and then the top voteiners go against each other in the general Dan Sullivan is one of them. One of the others, maybe Dan Sullivan. That's right, There are two Dan Sullivan's on the ballot, which is weird. Right, Well, you have Dan S. Sullivan, who is the incumbent Republican, and then you have Dan J. Sullivan, who coincidentally has like the same name and probably also coincidentally got help from a Democrat consultant to help him file to run for the office. I'm sure there's not any kind of intent to confuse voters by running somebody with the same name, right, I'm sure that's got nothing to do with what's going on. It just happens to be another guy named Dan Sullivan who really wants. To be US senor. The DOJ. Is now issuing subpoenas to find out was this intentionally done to confuse voters and steal votes from the incumbent Dan S. Sullivan. And look, there is a perfectly reasonable explanation for why it looks like this is a dirty trick. It's because it's a dirty trick. Okay, That's why it looks like this. Next up, do you remember the polling that showed Francesca Hong, the woman with the mental health issues and also a DSA member which is probably actually redundant, But she lost up in what was it the Wisconsin Goodnatorial primary, and the polls showed her up like twenty points, and then she got beaten and people were like, what's going on there? Well, apparently there is a what people believe to be a polling outfit named Median Strategies, right, a poll that was done up there that showed her leading, But also another poll that was taken in Los Angeles by Median Strategies that claimed Mayor Karen Bass was leading councilmember Nthya Raman by a wide margin. Same company. Turns out the polls were bogus, like literally fake polls, and the company acknowledges this The fake poll showed Bass leading Ramen by twelve points ahead of the November third mayoral runoff, and said the results were based on a survey of five hundred and sixty Los Angeles voters. It said it had a margin of era of four percent. However, this week, in response to repeated inquiries from the Los Angeles Times, the company finally acknowledged that the poll was nothing of the con quote. Median Strategies was created as a short term social experiment to examine how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification. The company send this in an email to the LA Times. In other words, it wasn't a real pull. It was a hoax because we were just trying to see how this would spread through the political information ecosystem. So this is like the equivalent of the fast and furious gun running operation. That's what this sounds like. We put out fake information just to see what would happen. Amazingly enough, it benefited Karen Bass. And by the way, Median Strategies would never have divulged this information, and I suspect it's just this is just an excuse. I suspect that had they never been called out for this, they never would have admitted it and we would never have known. And I love this line quote. We are not seeking publicity or attribution for the individuals involved and are declining interviews. So look, people, we are not looking to suffer any consequences for our deception here. Okay, So let's just all move on. All right. We're not going to tell you who did it. We're just letting you know this was just a social experiment. Well, why couldn't you have done the social experiment with I don't know, a real poll, right, why not put out real polling and then monitor how it works its way through the political information ecosystem without independent verification. Faced with a choice between the incumbent and a Democratic Socialist of America aligned challenger, most of the voters for Spencer Pratt appear to be treating Bess as the more familiar, more moderate option rather. Than sitting out the race. Who said that median strategy said that when they released the poll, So what's the point. The point was to give the permission to Prat voters and to send a message that Bass is a moderate. So if Bass clears Raman Nitya Raman out of the if those are the two people that clear the primary, because they do the jungle primary in California, so the top voteiners face off in the general, right, and so this was saying that these two are your top two basically, and Bass is the more familiar, more moderate option, and that Pratt voters will vote for Bass. They were putting their thumb on the scale. Bass highlighted this poll not a poll. She deleted the tweet off of the campaign website, but she cheered the results. After the fake survey was released last week, Median, which declined an interview, began posting on social media August ninth that had about twenty followers, and it said polling has a credibility problem. Ours is the fix. No partisan clients, no campaign or party money, numbers that go wherever the data takes them, even when it's inconvenient. Trustworthy polling rebuilt. So they lied just an absolute lie top to bottom. And also they got Wisconsin wrong two by quite a large margin. All Right, that'll do it for this episode. Thank you so much for listening. I could not do the show without your support and the support of the businesses that advertise on the podcast. So if you'd like, please support them too and tell them you heard it here. You can also become a patron at my patreon page or go to thepetecleanershow dot com. Again, thank you so much for listening, and don't break anything while I'm gone.