NC GOP is stomping Democrats in early voting (10-29-2024--Hour1)

[00:00:04] What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon to 3 on WBT Radio in Charlotte. And if you want exclusive content like invitations to events, the weekly live stream, my daily show prep with all the links, become a patron, go to thepetekalendershow.com. Make sure you hit the subscribe button, get every episode for free, right to your smartphone or tablet. And again, thank you so much for your support.

[00:00:28] Thanks a lot for hanging out. I appreciate it. Happy Tuesday to you. I feel an air of virtuous superiority because I voted yesterday. And if you didn't, I think that means I'm better than you.

[00:00:46] Now it is. I just it means I just checked something off on my list. So finally got around to it. I will say when I went to the early voting location here in Charlotte,

[00:00:57] the Democrats, the Mecklenburg County Democrats had a table set up. No table for Republicans, though. I don't even think I saw any real signs around, you know, like they stuff all the signs on the way in thinking like, oh, I don't know who to vote for.

[00:01:16] Hey, that person's name on the sign looks cool. I'll vote for that person. By the way, here's a quick rule of thumb on political yard signs.

[00:01:30] If you see them in the right of way on public property.

[00:01:36] Then that's not indicative of anything, really. Just some staffers, campaign people went out and put up a bunch of signs on the side of the road.

[00:01:46] If you see a lot of signs in people's front yards or on private property, that is indicative of support.

[00:01:54] So if you're seeing lots of yard signs, but they're all clustered at intersections, not on private property, that's not really indicative of anything except a lot of wasted money.

[00:02:07] Because especially when you've got like, you know, 40 different candidate signs all grouped together.

[00:02:15] I don't understand. I've never understood what that's supposed to do.

[00:02:18] Am I supposed to read every sign that's over here? When there's so many, I just I'm not going to read any of them.

[00:02:25] And it's not like I'm driving down the road and I see the Kamala Harris signs every 10 feet.

[00:02:31] And I think, you know what? I wasn't going to vote for her, but now I totally am because they put up like 100 signs over this one mile stretch of road.

[00:02:40] So. I guess I should vote for her.

[00:02:46] So, again, it doesn't it doesn't help to convince me of anything when I see them in the right of way.

[00:02:54] It is a representation of support if you see a lot of them on people's property.

[00:03:01] But even that doesn't convince me to support a candidate.

[00:03:04] However, some people actually are convinced of that.

[00:03:09] These late breaking votes at the very end of the election season, right before or on Election Day, people wonder, you know, who who are these people that haven't decided and all of a sudden they break for one candidate?

[00:03:21] You know what that is, right?

[00:03:23] It's people wanting to be on the winning team.

[00:03:27] That's it.

[00:03:27] They're bandwagon voters.

[00:03:30] They're called that.

[00:03:32] But people like they this is why it's so hard to find anybody that voted for the losing candidate unless the losing candidate gets up there and says that they didn't actually lose.

[00:03:43] I can't.

[00:03:44] I can't.

[00:03:44] But it's true.

[00:03:45] There's a psychology here, right?

[00:03:47] There's a psychology that if you voted for, let's say you voted for Trump and Trump loses and then you're like, well, oh, yeah, I totally voted for Biden.

[00:03:57] You know, people want to be seen as part of the in group.

[00:04:01] And so that's what those late breaking people are all about.

[00:04:05] So so there's that.

[00:04:09] Early voting.

[00:04:10] So I guess yesterday was day 12.

[00:04:13] And let me give you a couple of the data points here from Jim Blaine, who he was.

[00:04:20] North Carolina Senate president pro tem Phil Berger.

[00:04:25] He worked for Phil Berger's office.

[00:04:27] Now he does political consulting.

[00:04:29] I think he worked on Ted Budd's campaign.

[00:04:31] He works with Dan Bishop's campaign.

[00:04:33] So he's now the he's with his firm is called the differentiators.

[00:04:40] And.

[00:04:43] He's got some data points here from the first 12 days of early voting.

[00:04:47] And if you are a Democrat in North Carolina.

[00:04:51] My apologies to you, but not really.

[00:04:54] But well, this is going to be tough to hear.

[00:04:57] Now, this doesn't indicate.

[00:05:00] That, you know, the races is the races are are determined or anything like that.

[00:05:06] However.

[00:05:08] Right now, the early voting turnout numbers are not good for Democrats.

[00:05:14] And by not good, I mean, darn near cataclysmic.

[00:05:17] So the Republican Party.

[00:05:22] Added.

[00:05:23] Ten thousand votes yesterday.

[00:05:26] To its lead over the Democrats.

[00:05:31] All right.

[00:05:31] So and again, we don't know how people are voting.

[00:05:34] We just know what their party affiliations are when they show up to vote.

[00:05:39] And every single day.

[00:05:41] The Board of Elections reports on.

[00:05:45] Who who voted?

[00:05:47] People's name.

[00:05:48] So this is why when that skinny little guy came to my door wanting me to vote.

[00:05:52] He knew that I had not voted, but my wife had.

[00:05:56] Because Christy had gone to vote early already.

[00:05:59] She went like two days before I did.

[00:06:01] So she she's already crossed off their list.

[00:06:04] They're not going to spend any time or money trying to talk to her because she's already voted.

[00:06:07] Me.

[00:06:08] Yeah, they wanted to talk to me.

[00:06:09] But I shut that crap down.

[00:06:11] I was like, do not talk to me.

[00:06:15] But the GOP has been leading.

[00:06:19] The Democrats in North Carolina by registered voter turnout for their respective parties.

[00:06:26] There have been somewhere in the neighborhood of about twenty five thousand more Republican voters than Democrat voters through the first.

[00:06:37] Eleven days.

[00:06:39] By day twelve.

[00:06:40] Republicans had increased that.

[00:06:43] By about ten thousand votes.

[00:06:46] Now they're up to a thirty five thousand voter margin.

[00:06:50] Republicans are.

[00:06:51] If you go back to twenty twenty and compare the turnout numbers, according to Jim Blaine, at this point in twenty twenty.

[00:07:04] The Democrats were leading the Republicans.

[00:07:09] By three hundred fifteen thousand votes.

[00:07:14] Three hundred fifteen thousand vote differential.

[00:07:20] Four years ago.

[00:07:22] And now Republicans are leading by thirty five thousand.

[00:07:25] That is a massive swing.

[00:07:30] On Monday.

[00:07:32] So yesterday, eighty three thousand Democrats voted.

[00:07:35] Cutting ten thousand voters from their twenty four versus twenty deficit.

[00:07:40] Democrats have averaged about seventy three thousand voters per day in the first week of early voting.

[00:07:47] OK, every single day about seventy three thousand Democrats statewide go and early vote.

[00:07:54] If they are going to match their numbers from twenty twenty.

[00:08:00] They have to be turning out.

[00:08:02] Not seventy three thousand.

[00:08:04] Not eighty three thousand.

[00:08:07] They're going to have to turn out one hundred forty thousand voters per day in the last days here of early voting in order to match.

[00:08:17] What they did in twenty twenty.

[00:08:20] What's more, it appears that unaffiliated voters.

[00:08:25] Might very well overtake Democrats by Thursday.

[00:08:30] Day after tomorrow.

[00:08:34] I mean, that's just astounding.

[00:08:37] It's almost as if.

[00:08:38] Wait a minute.

[00:08:39] Twenty twenty.

[00:08:40] Did we make it like really, really easy for.

[00:08:43] Like mail in ballots and stuff like that.

[00:08:47] I'm trying to remember.

[00:08:48] Or.

[00:08:49] It just seems like that would have been a.

[00:08:51] That might help explain why the Democrats aren't doing as poorly when they don't have their ballots mailed to them in mass.

[00:08:58] Hmm.

[00:09:01] Also.

[00:09:03] Polling is one thing.

[00:09:04] Early voting data is another.

[00:09:06] Here's another, though.

[00:09:10] Advertising.

[00:09:12] Where are the campaigns and the parties putting their money?

[00:09:16] Right.

[00:09:16] Sort of like the betting markets.

[00:09:18] When you put real money on the table.

[00:09:21] Right.

[00:09:22] You're serious.

[00:09:24] And if you look at the buys, they're changing in North Carolina.

[00:09:30] The media buys are changing.

[00:09:32] Chris Lasavita from the Trump campaign posted some numbers on this.

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[00:10:40] Let's now head over to the phone lines and talk with Kim.

[00:10:43] Hello, Kim.

[00:10:44] Welcome to the show.

[00:10:45] Hey.

[00:10:46] Pete, thank you for taking my call.

[00:10:47] Sure.

[00:10:47] I've been working at the polls this time.

[00:10:50] Oh, God bless you.

[00:10:51] It's my first time working at the polls.

[00:10:52] It has been so fun.

[00:10:54] We kind of celebrate all kinds of things.

[00:10:56] We have first-time voters, new citizens.

[00:10:58] It's been real exciting.

[00:11:00] But we had a lady who came in, and she said, well, what do you do for senior voters?

[00:11:03] And I said, well, what would you want us to do for senior voters?

[00:11:06] And she said, I want everybody to know that I'm 102.

[00:11:09] And I said, oh, my goodness.

[00:11:11] Do I have permission to say that?

[00:11:12] And she said, absolutely.

[00:11:14] And she did not want to do the curbside voting.

[00:11:17] She said, I can walk.

[00:11:19] I can stand.

[00:11:19] I can talk.

[00:11:20] And by God, I'm going to come in and cast my vote.

[00:11:23] And so I said, ladies and gentlemen, we have our most senior voter.

[00:11:26] And she was so excited and just a little sassy pants and was so funny and wanted to let everybody

[00:11:34] know her mom was 105 when she passed away.

[00:11:37] And she's planning on beating that.

[00:11:39] So it's been fun working the polls.

[00:11:41] I've had a great time.

[00:11:42] It is one of the things, and I was reminded of it yesterday when I went into my early voting

[00:11:46] site.

[00:11:47] And I don't know why, but like you mentioning that, it just now reminds me.

[00:11:51] But I don't know why I kind of forget this, but the polling locations, the people that

[00:11:56] are in there, it is, I mean, it's a fun environment, it seems like, mainly because I think everybody

[00:12:03] knows that you're not allowed to talk about politics or candidates.

[00:12:07] I have seen former students that I taught.

[00:12:11] I've seen people I went to high school with.

[00:12:13] It was bigger than our class reunion.

[00:12:15] I mean, just, I've seen so many people I haven't seen in a long time because I newly retired

[00:12:20] and I have just had the best time.

[00:12:23] Well, great.

[00:12:24] Are you in?

[00:12:24] It's been a lot of fun.

[00:12:25] Are you in Mecklenburg County?

[00:12:27] Yes.

[00:12:27] Okay.

[00:12:27] Yes.

[00:12:28] All right, cool.

[00:12:29] Yeah.

[00:12:29] Well, Kim, thank you very much for doing that.

[00:12:31] We appreciate it.

[00:12:32] I appreciate that, that you're, that you volunteered to help out.

[00:12:35] And I've learned, I've learned so much about the process too, as far as how safe and secure

[00:12:40] everything is.

[00:12:41] So you think that's the case?

[00:12:42] You have confidence in it?

[00:12:44] Oh, 100%.

[00:12:45] 100%.

[00:12:46] Do you, do you feel more confident now than you were before?

[00:12:50] Yes.

[00:12:51] Yes.

[00:12:52] Because I have, every night somebody has to work as either the Republican judge or a Democrat

[00:12:59] judge.

[00:13:00] And then the judges that are there, there's so many multiple processes where people are,

[00:13:06] five people are watching something happen and you've got to sign off on everything.

[00:13:10] And the way they come in and check people.

[00:13:13] And I just, I feel so much better having worked there.

[00:13:17] And so I'm telling people it's a, it's a very safe process.

[00:13:21] And yeah, so I've, I've learned a lot.

[00:13:25] All right.

[00:13:25] I did not know.

[00:13:26] Yeah.

[00:13:26] Kim.

[00:13:27] Well, thanks for the call.

[00:13:28] I appreciate it.

[00:13:29] All right.

[00:13:30] Thanks.

[00:13:30] Bye.

[00:13:31] Yeah.

[00:13:31] Take care.

[00:13:32] That's really great.

[00:13:33] This is what I say.

[00:13:34] You know, if you have questions and concerns, I'm not saying that you shouldn't have questions

[00:13:41] or concerns or you shouldn't be skeptical.

[00:13:43] I'm, I, I never tell people that.

[00:13:45] What I do suggest is for people to get involved and to become part of the process to see how

[00:13:54] it works.

[00:13:54] Not because I think like you'll turn out like Kim and you'll be like, yay, the process

[00:13:58] is awesome.

[00:13:59] That's not why I tell people that it's one way or the other.

[00:14:03] I want people to get involved in the governance of their society.

[00:14:09] And I think a lot of people don't participate at all.

[00:14:13] And then just complain all the time.

[00:14:16] It's, you know, kind of like my neighborhood HOA.

[00:14:23] No, it is, but it, it is like, there is this, you know, this tendency where people, they

[00:14:28] don't pay attention.

[00:14:28] I got, I got more important things to do.

[00:14:31] I'm busy.

[00:14:31] Yeah.

[00:14:31] You know what?

[00:14:32] A lot of people are busy.

[00:14:33] I'm very busy, but things are important.

[00:14:38] And if you don't get these governance questions, correct, then all that other stuff that you're

[00:14:43] doing is for naught.

[00:14:45] Right.

[00:14:46] Because that's how you lose the democracy.

[00:14:48] No, that's how you, that's how you lose this form of government.

[00:14:52] So people have to be engaged and they have to participate.

[00:14:56] And if, you know, yes, it's a sacrifice.

[00:14:59] I totally get it.

[00:15:00] I totally understand that.

[00:15:01] And I agree.

[00:15:02] It's a sacrifice.

[00:15:03] People are either going to, you know, use days, time off or they just, you know, if you're

[00:15:09] not taking time off from work, then you're literally, you're just, you know, taking your

[00:15:12] own time to participate.

[00:15:14] And there are some paid positions with the board of elections that you can get.

[00:15:18] It doesn't pay well.

[00:15:20] People don't do it for the money, but it's another set of eyes on the process.

[00:15:26] And so maybe you come away like Kim did thinking that you have more confidence in the system

[00:15:32] and the administration of the system, or maybe you're there to see shenanigans either way.

[00:15:38] Right.

[00:15:39] Either way, we need good, competent people to volunteer their time and expertise or else

[00:15:44] we end up being governed by bad and incompetent people.

[00:15:48] And I would prefer the former rather than the latter.

[00:15:53] That's just me.

[00:15:55] Okay.

[00:15:56] So I mentioned this Chris Lasavita tweet that he sent out about North Carolina media spending.

[00:16:03] Kamala Harris, media buying and analytics is revising her broadcast flight from October

[00:16:11] 29th.

[00:16:12] So starting today through the election in the contest for us presidential.

[00:16:17] So far, we have seen $1.72 million removed from the Charlotte, Greensboro, Greenville, New Bern,

[00:16:31] Norfolk, Raleigh, and Wilmington markets.

[00:16:34] What does that tell you?

[00:16:35] They've just pulled $1.7 million in advertising out of North Carolina the last week of the election.

[00:16:44] What do her polls tell her?

[00:16:48] When you move that kind of money in the last week, that's not a sleight of hand.

[00:16:52] That's not a faint.

[00:16:53] That's not a head fake or something.

[00:16:55] That's we need the money someplace else and we're not going to get North Carolina.

[00:17:01] Let me go over and talk with Stan.

[00:17:02] Hello, Stan.

[00:17:04] Hey.

[00:17:05] Hey.

[00:17:05] How are you?

[00:17:06] I am all right.

[00:17:06] How are you?

[00:17:08] Good.

[00:17:08] Quick question for you.

[00:17:10] Sure.

[00:17:10] You know, I was listening to the data you were talking about as far as early voting,

[00:17:16] and I'm wondering if, not too much on the Republican side, but why the lower Democratic turnout.

[00:17:22] I wonder if that has to do with voter ID.

[00:17:26] So you think voter ID is keeping people from turning out?

[00:17:31] It could be.

[00:17:32] And I'd also like to see, Cork, if what is the mail-in ballot turnout looking like?

[00:17:39] Way down.

[00:17:40] It is way down, too, because, again, voter ID.

[00:17:44] Well, but the mail...

[00:17:45] Well, so when the mail-ins...

[00:17:49] I mean, if you're comparing it to 2020, right?

[00:17:52] Yes.

[00:17:52] The mail-in ballots were such a huge part of the Democrat strategy because of the COVID rules

[00:18:00] that had relaxed some of the witness signature stuff and made it easier to vote by mail because of COVID.

[00:18:08] So...

[00:18:09] Exactly.

[00:18:09] Right.

[00:18:09] So, yeah, and no, I don't think it's a lack of identification that is causing a 350,000 vote differential among Democrats.

[00:18:24] It's a lack of enthusiasm for their candidates.

[00:18:29] Well, my only concern is, of course, if this trend continues, then all of a sudden they're going to use that and say,

[00:18:36] this is why we lost North Carolina.

[00:18:38] They could.

[00:18:39] Voter ID and discriminated against blah, blah, blah.

[00:18:42] Right, but there's no evidence that there was discrimination that occurred and it being a part of the state constitution and adjudicated as constitutional.

[00:18:53] And it's one of the easiest ID systems in the nation.

[00:18:58] So, yeah, it would not be a convincing or compelling argument.

[00:19:02] But, yeah, they're going to try to find any way to blame something other than themselves if they were to lose.

[00:19:07] Sure.

[00:19:09] I agree.

[00:19:10] All right.

[00:19:10] That's all I wanted to say, Pete.

[00:19:11] All right, Sam.

[00:19:12] Have a great day.

[00:19:12] Yes, sir.

[00:19:13] You too.

[00:19:13] Take care.

[00:19:14] No, I mean, that's a fair concern, right, just from a messaging standpoint, that Democrats will try to claim that this is a result of voter ID.

[00:19:27] But didn't we use ID during our primary too?

[00:19:31] So, no, it's due to the fact that now you actually have to show up and vote by and large.

[00:19:38] And, you know, when you make it so easy to, you know, hand out ballots to anybody and everybody, then, yeah, you're going to see more turnout.

[00:19:49] And I've talked about this for years.

[00:19:51] Well, you know, during the election of 2020 all the way through today.

[00:19:56] In my opinion, that was the thumb on the scale.

[00:20:01] It was the way that the election rules were changed by the North Carolina Attorney General's Office and the Board of Elections, all controlled by Democrats.

[00:20:13] And they entered into this collusive agreement with the entities that sued them in order to get what they all wanted.

[00:20:23] They all agreed.

[00:20:24] Like, they were they're all pals, right?

[00:20:27] I forget who it was that sued.

[00:20:29] It may have been the North Carolina NAACP.

[00:20:31] I forget who.

[00:20:32] But maybe it was the Coalition for Social Justice.

[00:20:37] I forget what organizations, maybe League of Women Voters, too.

[00:20:42] And they were making demands for relaxation of all sorts of rules because of covid.

[00:20:50] And the Board of Elections director.

[00:20:54] Had wanted those things, too.

[00:20:57] And so when the lawsuit came demanding that she do what she wanted to do before they sued her.

[00:21:04] That was why the legislature intervened.

[00:21:06] They came in and they were like, whoa, whoa, whoa.

[00:21:08] We're part of this lawsuit, too.

[00:21:11] And then when they entered into the agreement, they cut the lawmakers out.

[00:21:14] They cut the legislature as a as a party to the lawsuit, cut them out of the negotiations and then walked into court.

[00:21:21] And they were like, yeah, we came to an agreement.

[00:21:23] This is what we're going to do.

[00:21:24] And then that got litigated.

[00:21:27] So now you've got turnout where you actually have to turn out.

[00:21:32] And.

[00:21:34] Look, if you don't have an idea, there are all sorts of ways that you can still vote.

[00:21:37] You've got the provisional ballots.

[00:21:39] You got to then go back and show the idea of some kind.

[00:21:42] There are all sorts of forms of identification that are acceptable.

[00:21:46] So, yeah, I don't buy the argument, but that's that doesn't mean that Democrats won't make it.

[00:21:51] Richard, welcome to the show.

[00:21:52] Hey, Richard.

[00:21:54] Hey, Pete.

[00:21:55] Love your show, man.

[00:21:55] Thanks, sir.

[00:21:56] Welcome.

[00:21:57] OK, I want to make a comment about Kamala.

[00:21:59] I heard she was asked three questions and I want to comment about.

[00:22:03] They ask her, what would you do if I ran attacked Israel?

[00:22:07] You're president.

[00:22:08] She said, don't do it.

[00:22:09] He asked her again.

[00:22:10] Yeah, but what would you do?

[00:22:10] She said, don't do it.

[00:22:12] They asked Donald Trump.

[00:22:13] He said, I bugged you know what out of them.

[00:22:16] And another time the man asked her, you know, you said if you were president, you know, she was over the border.

[00:22:24] And he said, you've never been.

[00:22:25] She said, but I've never been to Europe either.

[00:22:27] Ha, ha, ha.

[00:22:28] I mean, that was her answer.

[00:22:29] One more.

[00:22:30] A man asked her on there, you go lower medicine and groceries.

[00:22:35] How do you plan to do that?

[00:22:36] And she made the comment, I come from a middle class family and we looked out for each other and we had beautiful lawns.

[00:22:43] Now, what do you think about a answer like that?

[00:22:46] Oh, I've covered all of those.

[00:22:48] You have?

[00:22:49] Yeah.

[00:22:50] Yeah, yeah, yeah.

[00:22:50] I've covered all of those.

[00:22:52] When she was making those comments in those various interviews, she does not do well.

[00:22:58] She does not do well in extemporaneous interviews.

[00:23:02] This is why they had her out on a campaign trail reciting words off of a teleprompter, drilling the language into her head by making her say it over and over and over again, hoping that that would prepare her enough for when she actually sits down.

[00:23:16] But she's been this way in interviews her entire career and it hasn't stopped her.

[00:23:22] Right.

[00:23:22] So.

[00:23:23] Yeah.

[00:23:24] Yeah.

[00:23:24] So she doesn't do the homework.

[00:23:26] She doesn't know the topic.

[00:23:27] She's not a deep thinker.

[00:23:28] She doesn't know why she believes the things she believes.

[00:23:31] So she just when asked about this stuff and look, she's in a very difficult spot because she's trying to run against a sitting president that named her as his V put her in charge of certain projects like you mentioned.

[00:23:44] And then she didn't get them fixed.

[00:23:45] So she can't really run against Joe Biden.

[00:23:48] But she has to somehow claim that she's going to be turning the page to a new kind of leadership.

[00:23:53] Oh, but also kind of the same.

[00:23:55] That's why I've been joking that her campaign slogan should be Kamala Harris.

[00:23:58] It's same, but different because that's the campaign she's been forced to run.

[00:24:03] And it's not resonating with people.

[00:24:05] Richard, I appreciate the call.

[00:24:08] All right.

[00:24:09] So I went over the stats here from the early voting.

[00:24:13] This was from Jim Blaine, Republican consultant guy and with the differentiators.

[00:24:20] Also that.

[00:24:22] Sorry, I can.

[00:24:23] Well, let me run through the numbers real quick for this year.

[00:24:27] You've got over a million Democrats who have so far voted early.

[00:24:31] When compared to the same time period in 2020, they've got.

[00:24:37] One point three six five million and now they're at one point oh two four.

[00:24:43] So they're like 300000 votes down.

[00:24:46] In 2020, the Republicans had a little over a million.

[00:24:50] And right now they've got a little bit more, about 9000 more than they had in 2020.

[00:24:59] Unaffiliated are up by about 7600.

[00:25:02] Again, this is a comparison between where they were at this point in 2020 to where we are right now.

[00:25:10] Then you've also got the news that the Harris campaign has been pulling back her TV ad buy.

[00:25:17] And see, Democrats have Democrats have always front loaded their early voting stats.

[00:25:24] They get people out to the polls first week.

[00:25:28] According to the strategists, Paul Shoemaker and Morgan Jackson, one a Republican, one a Democrat.

[00:25:35] You know, they say that the Republicans then make up some of that ground in the second week of early voting.

[00:25:41] And so this then raises the question of cannibalization.

[00:25:47] Much like what was it?

[00:25:49] Joe Biden's uncle that went down in World War Two.

[00:25:54] No, you've got the the day of voting, election day voting.

[00:26:01] And if you end up just pulling out voters from that pool, the people that normally go and vote on election day.

[00:26:11] And now you just get them to vote early.

[00:26:14] That's cannibalizing that vote.

[00:26:16] All you've done is just move that vote from election day to an early voting period.

[00:26:21] And so there's a lot of wish casting going on that that's what's happening.

[00:26:27] We don't know if that's actually what's happening.

[00:26:30] The data indicates that it is not happening.

[00:26:34] And the data is compiled every single day.

[00:26:37] The Board of Elections runs a report and people can get access to the reports.

[00:26:41] I think you just go to the Board of Elections or the website or whatever.

[00:26:44] You ask for the reports.

[00:26:46] The campaigns get it.

[00:26:47] The parties get it.

[00:26:48] They know everybody that voted.

[00:26:49] And then the thing is they know through data analytics.

[00:26:54] They know if you vote.

[00:26:57] Like I am what's considered to be an A voter.

[00:27:01] I vote for everybody's name that starts with A.

[00:27:05] That's not true.

[00:27:06] A voter means that.

[00:27:07] I'm just kidding.

[00:27:09] So you just.

[00:27:09] A voter is somebody who votes in all the elections.

[00:27:14] In primaries.

[00:27:16] In municipal races.

[00:27:18] Off your election cycles.

[00:27:20] Right.

[00:27:20] Those are your A voters.

[00:27:22] High propensity voters.

[00:27:24] And because of all of the data that is collected online.

[00:27:30] On all of us.

[00:27:32] From all of us.

[00:27:34] They know.

[00:27:35] These campaigns know.

[00:27:37] Whether you are likely to vote for their candidate or not.

[00:27:41] And.

[00:27:43] They then try to get you.

[00:27:44] If you're one of their voters.

[00:27:45] They try to get you to go vote.

[00:27:46] And they want you to bank as many votes as possible.

[00:27:49] Get them in as much as possible.

[00:27:50] So those are your high propensity voters.

[00:27:52] I am a high propensity voter.

[00:27:54] It is way more likely than not that I'm going to vote.

[00:27:58] Then you've got low propensity voters.

[00:28:00] They're tougher to get out to the polls.

[00:28:02] And these are people that generally.

[00:28:06] Democrats have relied on in greater number.

[00:28:09] I think than Republicans do.

[00:28:12] Republicans have more.

[00:28:14] I think a base of more motivated people that vote.

[00:28:16] They are high propensity.

[00:28:18] Because they're older.

[00:28:20] Generally.

[00:28:21] Generally.

[00:28:22] And with the Democrat coalition.

[00:28:24] Being what it is.

[00:28:25] Yes.

[00:28:25] You have a core group.

[00:28:26] That is high propensity.

[00:28:28] But you also have a lot of low propensity voters.

[00:28:30] Which is why Democrats spend so much time and effort.

[00:28:32] Trying to get out the vote.

[00:28:34] Rock the vote.

[00:28:35] Here's Beyonce.

[00:28:36] She's going to sing something for.

[00:28:37] Oh actually no.

[00:28:38] She's not going to sing for you.

[00:28:39] Sorry.

[00:28:40] That's.

[00:28:40] A little bit of bait and switch.

[00:28:42] Going on there.

[00:28:44] Or is it bay and switch.

[00:28:51] That's a kid.

[00:28:51] That's a joke for the kids.

[00:28:54] And the.

[00:28:55] What do they call the.

[00:28:57] The people that.

[00:28:58] That love Beyonce.

[00:29:00] Her fans.

[00:29:01] I know they call her Queen Bee.

[00:29:05] Beeheads.

[00:29:07] Bayheads.

[00:29:08] Huh.

[00:29:09] The beehive.

[00:29:10] So you're a beehive.

[00:29:12] You're a hiver.

[00:29:13] Is that what they call themselves.

[00:29:16] That's just.

[00:29:18] Well that does make sense.

[00:29:20] Sort of a hive mind.

[00:29:22] Kicks in.

[00:29:23] You ever seen videos.

[00:29:24] Of bees.

[00:29:25] When they.

[00:29:25] They do that shimmering thing.

[00:29:27] Around the nest.

[00:29:28] It's crazy.

[00:29:31] It's like a Beyonce concert.

[00:29:33] So.

[00:29:35] When you put money.

[00:29:36] Where your mouth is though.

[00:29:37] That's a really good indication.

[00:29:39] It's like people in the betting markets.

[00:29:41] People make bets.

[00:29:42] On who's going to win.

[00:29:44] Various elections.

[00:29:45] And the markets change.

[00:29:47] All the time.

[00:29:47] Time.

[00:29:48] But.

[00:29:49] When you look at.

[00:29:50] Where people are putting their actual money.

[00:29:53] That is a greater indication.

[00:29:55] Because.

[00:29:56] I feel like it's a greater indication.

[00:29:59] Of where people's thoughts are.

[00:30:01] Because.

[00:30:01] Who was talking about this the other day.

[00:30:03] I saw it.

[00:30:05] Oh.

[00:30:06] Mr. Wonderful.

[00:30:07] The guy from Shark Tank.

[00:30:10] Kevin Leary.

[00:30:11] Or whatever his name is.

[00:30:12] And he was talking about how.

[00:30:14] The.

[00:30:14] Like 85% of the best market managers.

[00:30:17] Money managers.

[00:30:18] They can't beat.

[00:30:19] The S&P 500.

[00:30:22] Like you may.

[00:30:22] And this goes back to the.

[00:30:23] The wisdom of the crowds.

[00:30:25] Which is.

[00:30:25] You may be the smartest person.

[00:30:29] In.

[00:30:30] You know.

[00:30:31] The.

[00:30:31] In Panther Stadium.

[00:30:33] On any given Sunday.

[00:30:34] Well that's not a good example.

[00:30:35] Because nobody's actually in the stadium anymore.

[00:30:37] All right.

[00:30:37] So like if you're in a sold out Beyonce concert.

[00:30:40] Okay.

[00:30:40] You may be the smartest person.

[00:30:42] In that venue.

[00:30:43] But you're not smart.

[00:30:44] You're not smart.

[00:30:44] Than everybody else combined.

[00:30:46] In that venue.

[00:30:47] There's just too many people.

[00:30:48] They're going to know.

[00:30:49] All these different things.

[00:30:50] That you're not going to know.

[00:30:52] That's it.

[00:30:53] And so that's what the betting markets look like.

[00:30:55] And also when you see the Harris campaign.

[00:30:57] Pulling 1.7 million dollars.

[00:30:59] In advertising.

[00:30:59] Or advertising buys.

[00:31:01] Out of North Carolina.

[00:31:02] That indicates.

[00:31:03] They're not willing to blow that catch.

[00:31:05] All right.

[00:31:06] That'll do it for this episode.

[00:31:07] Thank you so much for listening.

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