Demographics might NOT be destiny after all (03-19-2024--Hour3)

[00:00:00] What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to this podcast. It is heard live every

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[00:00:27] you so much for your support. All right, I have to do a quick shift here. I know I said

[00:00:32] I was going to talk about the pole denialism and I will, I promise, but right now there

[00:00:37] is a, there's a hearing testimony being provided by retired generals on the US withdrawal

[00:00:43] from Afghanistan Congressman Brad Sherman, Democrat from I believe California. He's blaming

[00:00:50] Donald Trump. So this is happening live. Had we, was there a way for us to go all around

[00:00:57] Afghanistan and demand the return of our equipment? This is assuming I realized that at the time

[00:01:03] we hoped that the Afghan armed forces would use that to resist the Taliban, but if we had

[00:01:09] realized that they were going to cave immediately, could we have taken that equipment away

[00:01:15] from all these Afghans with no casualties? No, of course not. So so we would have incurred

[00:01:22] very substantial casualties if we had done what so many on the other side of the aisle

[00:01:27] have suggested and that somehow get back our equipment. Now how does our withdrawal from

[00:01:36] Afghanistan compare to our withdrawal from well actually I have another question. Yeah,

[00:01:43] don't ask that one. Biden came in in January 2020, one was there a comprehensive plan

[00:01:50] at that time to both withdraw absolutely every one of our servicemen because that was

[00:01:56] the promised trumpet made to the American people while we're drawing in an organized way

[00:02:02] with no American casualties. Was there a complete plan ready to go at that time?

[00:02:07] So two points of I go back to equipment just very quickly. As I recall and I think it's

[00:02:13] laid out in the C-GAR report, the special IG for Afghanistan. It's about $80 million

[00:02:20] worth of military aid total that's everything from food and building barracks and uniforms

[00:02:26] and boots to include equipment over 20 years. In any sites I think it's 7.2 billion of

[00:02:33] military equipment, U.S. manufactured military equipment that is with the Afghan security

[00:02:38] forces. That's Afghan owned equipment, not American equipment every piece of American

[00:02:43] equipment that the American military owned came out with us with Scott Miller or he destroyed

[00:02:49] it on site and that's a fact. So the idea that the Americans so this is...

[00:02:55] Oh wait, so hang on a second. So all of that equipment was the Afghani equipment that

[00:03:00] they turned over. So you just blew up the Democrat talking point on that one just to be clear.

[00:03:06] Okay, good. The George W. Bush Institute of February 2024, the captured state on human

[00:03:12] cost and on corruption.

[00:03:13] Joe Wilson.

[00:03:14] Jackson Sir Order.

[00:03:15] Thank you Mr. Chairman. Indeed, generals, we appreciate your service but we just have

[00:03:20] to learn from what's occurred, the appeasement in Afghanistan. The Biden decision to appease

[00:03:27] is the worst foreign policy, national security decision I believe in the history of the United

[00:03:32] States. It led directly to the encouragement of dictators who are ruling by gun to invade

[00:03:40] the democracies of rule of law. We saw that on February 22, 2022 when...

[00:03:46] This is Congressman Joe Wilson from South Carolina's upstate.

[00:03:49] On October 7, 2023, when the regime in Tehran through their puppets of Hamas invaded Israel,

[00:03:56] we see it today as the world's largest military buildup is being conducted by the Chinese

[00:04:01] Communist Party to threaten Taiwan. The global war and terrorism continues, and indeed with

[00:04:07] open borders of the American families have never been a greater risk of attack. And I especially

[00:04:13] appreciate the military family who are here today as a 31-year veteran of the 218th Infantry

[00:04:21] Brigade. I visited four times with our personnel with the Aging General Bob Livingston,

[00:04:28] and our troops serving in Afghanistan. And I saw them serve with their Afghan brothers,

[00:04:33] just as you did. And due to encouragement by my wife, I'm particularly grateful my

[00:04:38] oldest son, Alan, received a CAB in Iraq, my second son, a doctor at Baghdad International

[00:04:44] Airport, my third served at Southern Border and also served in Egypt and my youngest

[00:04:50] son served under your command a year in Afghanistan. And to me, the Biden decision that led

[00:04:57] to the 13 deaths of the persons that abigate the service members is just inexcusable. And

[00:05:04] I actually felt assured, General, is knowing that your competence and capability, particularly

[00:05:10] a Citadel graduate, but I am very concerned that you were blamed on August 26, 2021 by

[00:05:20] Mr. Biden. He specifically said that the 13 murder, the withdrawal of forces was a decision

[00:05:29] as determined by the military and he said he had letters that indicated that you had said

[00:05:35] that there should be an immediate appeasement. I sent a letter that day to the president

[00:05:42] asking for copies of the letters. And every couple months I'll send another request

[00:05:48] it has not been provided. And so there are no letters and it's the responsibility of

[00:05:54] the president of the United States, his decision that resulted in what occurred of putting

[00:05:59] American families at risk. With that, indeed the Doha agreement, each of you was a violation

[00:06:08] it was conditions based and weren't were there violations by the Taliban of the agreement.

[00:06:16] Oh, let John McKenzie give the specifics but yes, the Taliban violated every condition of

[00:06:21] the agreement. Oh, the tax on US forces. Oh, the time they signed the agreement all the way

[00:06:26] to the end. Oh, and do you remember why that's important? Does anybody remember why that's

[00:06:30] important? Right. Because it means that Joe Biden had the ability to not do the withdrawal

[00:06:36] on the timetable that was laid out in the Doha agreement because the Taliban had violated it.

[00:06:41] So what you just heard that other congressman I forget who it was, Bradley or whatever, you heard

[00:06:46] him saying that you had to they had to do this because Trump did it all. He wrote the contract.

[00:06:51] He signed the deal and you had no choice but to do it. And oh, actually you did. We're still

[00:06:57] fighting over this. It's been four years. We're still fighting over these same stupid talking

[00:07:03] points. It's it really, it's just really frustrating. So kudos to Joe Wilson there.

[00:07:10] I still going actually hang on a second. Let's see what he said. So my position on

[00:07:16] Bagram was it linked to my recommendation, my position then and now that we should have held

[00:07:20] at 2500 at 2500 US forces. If you also assume that will allow the Afghans to stay in the fight,

[00:07:27] you can maintain a viable base at Bagram. General, the Bagram would be contacting American families.

[00:07:33] And hey, as we conclude, we still have a president making bad decisions. And that is that we had

[00:07:40] seven weeks ago. Three young Americans were killed, Army Reservus from Georgia. And this was a

[00:07:46] decision of the president, Mr. Biden who did not follow through on trying to stop these attacks

[00:07:53] on our troops by the puppets of Iran. And we've lost three service members over 40 injured.

[00:08:00] And the president needs to take this seriously. We're in a conflict for as extension of our country.

[00:08:06] Thank you. All right, that's Congressman Joe Wilson from the upstate of South Carolina.

[00:08:11] This is a hearing. He's got Mackenzie and Millie. They're talking about the US withdrawal

[00:08:16] from Afghanistan. But you heard also Mackenzie talking about the the Bagram air base. He's like

[00:08:20] I would not have left it as it was left. So what like all of the spin in the world,

[00:08:27] right? It's not going to make this look better for Democrats. Much like the polling.

[00:08:35] And even though they are denying what they are seeing, it doesn't make it true. See how I brought

[00:08:40] it all back together? Like do not attempt this kind of a segue on your own people. I am a trained

[00:08:45] professional. I do have some messages. Let me go ahead and knock these out real quick. Uh, Stan.

[00:08:51] Stan says Pete in light of the fact that somebody was just detained trying to cross our border.

[00:08:58] Uh, I don't know if they were in possession of bomb making materials, but he said he wanted

[00:09:02] to make a bomb and was going to go to New York City and build it and detonate it. Right? That

[00:09:08] is a that is a true story that did occur. Why would Israel or anybody for that matter take advice

[00:09:13] about its security from anyone associated with an administration that cannot secure its own border?

[00:09:18] Very good question. John says, I learned something new every day from your show, Pete. I did not

[00:09:25] realize Senator Schumer's name was pronounced Chuck. You Schumer. All these years, I've been mispronouncing

[00:09:32] it. I thought it was pronounced schmuck Schumer. Oh, that's a good one. Uh, I didn't I've never heard

[00:09:42] that pronunciation before. That's a dip. I think it depends on which region you come from,

[00:09:48] which dialect you've got either ones, either ones correct potato potato, you know?

[00:09:55] Actually, don't ever hear anybody say potato. Do you hear anybody use the word potato?

[00:10:02] No. Not even tomato anymore. Nobody says tomato except Annie about how the Sun will come out

[00:10:10] tomato, but that's it. Nobody else says tomato. Weird. Okay, so let me get to Nate Silver.

[00:10:18] Nate Silver. He was the guy who originally founded if I recall correctly, 538.com. 538.com

[00:10:26] was like a polling outfit, right? And it was like your 435 members of Congress,

[00:10:35] plus your 100 senators, plus your, what is it? President, vice president, and then who's the

[00:10:45] third? I forget. Or maybe it wasn't even based on that at all. Either way, it was in it was just

[00:10:51] he did statistical analysis. And I think he came out of the sports world and then he started doing

[00:10:55] politics. He became very big. I think he was hooked up with the New York Times and then eventually

[00:11:00] they he went off on his own. He abandoned the 538 thing. New York Times kept that and they hired

[00:11:07] some other guy named Nate, Nate something or other. I forget his last name, but he still does that.

[00:11:13] But Nate Silver does his own deal. I think I think I'm not confusing the two Nates.

[00:11:19] But anyway, when Nate Silver says some of this statistical analysis stuff, people tend to listen.

[00:11:24] He's like the EF Hutton of polling. And so he comes to the defense of a fellow named John

[00:11:32] Bern Murdock, who is with the Financial Times, who did a Twitter thread showing substantial

[00:11:42] losses for Democrats among non-white voters, which he termed a racial reallignment.

[00:11:49] And when he plots this stuff out, you can see you've got imagine this. You've got two lines,

[00:11:57] one blue for Democrats, one red for Republicans. And there's about a 25 point spread or 50 point

[00:12:03] spread, I should say between Democrats at the top of the chart and Republicans at the bottom.

[00:12:08] And it's a line graph. And so it's going from left to right and the lines going like two little

[00:12:12] snakes going. They're racing each other because the bottom is, you know, the 72 election 76 80,

[00:12:18] 84, 88. And at 2016, the Republican line starts shooting up and the Democrat line starts plundering

[00:12:29] down. And they're almost about to cross at 50%. And you know what that is? That's non-white voters.

[00:12:37] And if you don't think Democrats are terrified of this number, you are getting yourself. This is

[00:12:46] existential to them. All right, well just as I predicted, Draft King Sportsbook is now live in

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[00:13:55] is not a sponsor of this promotion and is used under license. The the Nate Silver write up on

[00:14:05] Democrats poll denialism is damning for for Democrats David Strom writing about it at hotair.com

[00:14:14] his is Democrats are furious with him over this. Both anecdotal end objective evidence show there

[00:14:20] has been a pretty dramatic shift in attitudes among minority voters most especially among

[00:14:25] Hispanic and Black voters. For generations these voters have reflexively voted for Democrats to

[00:14:33] the point that the correlation between their ideological commitments and their voting patterns

[00:14:40] hardly matched right what they believed did not align with the party platforms. Cultural

[00:14:49] affiliation not ideological consistency kept these voters in the Democrat column and it seemed

[00:14:56] nothing could shake that connection. This was so evident in North Carolina during one of the many

[00:15:04] many lawsuits that Democrats filed over the many many redistricting maps that were drawn over the

[00:15:10] course of the last uh we know what 14 years right the original maps that were drawn in 2010 when the

[00:15:18] Republicans took control in well 2011 with the census data and they did the redistricting in 2011

[00:15:23] for the first time in over a century. They got to control the process that Democrats had had a

[00:15:28] monopoly on and they used the rules that Democrats had been using and Democrats sued them over it

[00:15:37] and over the next decade and a half Democrats and progressive leftist organizations Mark

[00:15:43] Elias the Subaru lawyer right Hillary Clinton's cutout guy um they've been they've been suing

[00:15:51] North Carolina over and over and over again creating just this uh this you know maze of law that you

[00:16:00] can't even really follow. You can't create maps based on any kind of discernible standards

[00:16:06] based on the some of these court rulings which yes some have been overturned they go to the

[00:16:09] Supreme Court and it made one of the cases that went to the Supreme Court that they that made all

[00:16:15] the headlines because they're like oh targeted precision went after African American voters that whole

[00:16:20] thing. Sam Alito pointed out Supreme Court Justice Alito pointed out that they're using partisan

[00:16:27] identification they're not using race but because partisan identification and race are so closely

[00:16:36] connected that you're accusing them of the one thing based on the results when that

[00:16:43] when there's no evidence of that intent and it's a very dangerous thing to do but the the lefties

[00:16:49] on the Supreme Court didn't care they did it anyway and that became the headline targeted with precision

[00:16:55] you know racial minorities and all this when in fact Democrats or Republicans had targeted

[00:17:01] Democrat clusters like this idea that black voters are registered Democrats 90 plus percent

[00:17:08] is known in political science circles right everybody knows this you're in politics people know

[00:17:13] this and what has been happening is the erosion of that support and this is an existential threat

[00:17:19] to the Democrat party I have been saying this for gosh now 15 years if black voters voted like any

[00:17:27] other racial group Democrats would no longer win really anything like at a national level they

[00:17:36] would not win anything they could not win the presidency right if if you start seeing this kind

[00:17:43] of erosion occurring in the different demographic groups this is a blood bit oh sorry sorry they mean

[00:17:52] to say that gosh nothing except the rap the the rapid left wing shift of the Democrats and the

[00:18:01] other failure of Joe Biden's presidency and of course Donald Trump's idiosyncratic political style

[00:18:09] runs counter to the old Republican way of behaving since 2016 David Strom has joked that Donald

[00:18:18] Trump is a white rapper think about that Donald Trump is a white rapper in fact I remember hearing

[00:18:26] I don't know if this is still true but in 2016 and that he was the most mentioned name or something

[00:18:34] you know like in or maybe like business man's name in rap songs and I don't know David Strom says

[00:18:43] maybe that finally seems to have been noticed among black voters the problems are particularly bad

[00:18:50] for Democrats among working class voters of color and younger ones a lot of black Hispanic

[00:18:57] and Asian American voters have long identified as moderate even conservative not liberal but

[00:19:05] the theory here is that Democrats tilt towards more liberal policies is finally starting to catch

[00:19:12] up with them David Strom would say they're not liberal policies they're progressive policies right

[00:19:17] also the younger kids don't have a memory of the civil rights era and so those connections no longer

[00:19:25] have the kind of weight that they once did so this guy at the financial times he writes this

[00:19:31] this thread on Twitter it triggers all sorts of responses which is part of a pattern of

[00:19:38] poll denialism by Democrats which is by the way crept its way even into the White House

[00:19:43] Democrats fooled themselves into believing their own propaganda about Trump's supposed racism

[00:19:48] but Trump has spent decades doing business with and socializing with

[00:19:53] blacks and Hispanics and he doesn't appear to pander to them so whatever else you could say about

[00:20:00] Trump what you see is what you get and that is not the feeling that most black people get with

[00:20:05] Democrats anymore right Trump is more relatable than some of the more progressive moonbat members

[00:20:14] in the Democrat coalition the shift is in a lot of ways interesting because the Democrats are

[00:20:22] responding to this evidence as if it doesn't exist right that's like so Nate Silver is getting

[00:20:29] beaten up online because he agrees with this other guy burn Murdoch and Silver is trying to

[00:20:37] point this out to Democrats saying that you guys this is a blind spot for you but Democrats cannot

[00:20:43] wrap their heads around the fact that the party aligned itself with overeducated white liberals

[00:20:50] who are obsessed with virtue signaling more than being well basically decent people right so members

[00:20:57] of the working class get alienated by that kind of behavior by those kinds of people it's not a

[00:21:03] natural coalition the awfuls and the working class it's not the awfuls are the affluent white

[00:21:10] female liberals the awfuls right not a natural coalition I've been calling them the elisium

[00:21:15] party for years because from the movie elisium where you've got you know the working class down on

[00:21:21] the on the planet and then all the wealthy elites all up on the spaceship flying around sucking up

[00:21:26] all of the resources and stuff like that's your coalition that's not sustainable

[00:21:32] um they say the driving force in the Democrat coalition is allegiance to a radical cultural ideology

[00:21:39] which is utterly alien to anybody who has not marinated in elite educational circles he then

[00:21:48] goes on to point out a place in Texas um called star county sta rr it's where all the famous people live

[00:22:00] I'm kidding it's no it's star count it's 98% Hispanic that is the most of any county in America

[00:22:09] outside of Puerto Rico and that makes it a really really interesting data point

[00:22:15] all right do the current world events have you wondering whether we are teetering on the edge of

[00:22:20] catastrophe are you concerned it's going to reach our shores okay so what are you doing about your

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[00:23:01] be ready when the lights go out star county 98% Hispanic the most Hispanic county in America

[00:23:08] outside of Puerto Rico star county is also quite poor so it's a good place to look for patterns

[00:23:15] among working class Hispanics and what's happening there should be very very frightening two

[00:23:21] democrats since 2016 the number of votes in star county has gone from roughly an 8,000 vote

[00:23:32] spread in favor of democrats to now tide just in eight years how does that happen

[00:23:44] Biden received as many votes in star county as Hillary Clinton did in 2016

[00:23:49] or the same amount as Barack Obama did 20 oh wait and in 2012 but Trump surged

[00:23:58] he went from 2200 votes to 8,200 votes basically quite droopling his vote count in star county

[00:24:07] Nate silver says I have rarely seen anything like this especially in the contemporary American political

[00:24:13] landscape where partisan preferences tend to be relatively stable turnout was much higher in

[00:24:19] star county in 2020 but those new voters came out overwhelmingly for Trump contradicting the long

[00:24:26] standing belief that democrats benefit from higher turnout among minority groups the shift of

[00:24:31] the Hispanic vote in south Texas has undermined democrats dreams of turning Texas blue or at least

[00:24:39] purple offsetting gains that democrats have made in the Houston Dallas and Austin metro areas

[00:24:49] a host of other analysts as well have noticed the same trend you remember the guy named

[00:24:58] Rui Teixeira spelled T E I X E I R A this was the guy who gave us the phrase demographics is destiny

[00:25:10] that was him he was saying that at the time in the 2000s early 2000s he was saying that as white

[00:25:17] people get older and die off republicans will also get older and die off because those tend to be

[00:25:23] republicans and so when as America becomes quote unquote browner then it will be more democrat

[00:25:30] demographics is destiny and when conservatives republicans and white people started hearing this

[00:25:35] and they were like well that kind of sounds like I don't know like kind of like replacement

[00:25:41] theory kind of strategy or something and and then they saw oh you want to open up the borders

[00:25:50] and bring in millions of people that would also fit the description of the people you believe are

[00:25:56] going to be voting you into power by this kind of that that why that really does appear to be

[00:26:01] evidence of like some sort of a replacement strategy and then of course the media and the left but

[00:26:06] I repeat myself they responded with oh my gosh you said replacement theory like but that's

[00:26:10] what you guys were saying I go but you're saying it is racist no it this was the strategy

[00:26:17] this was the point right now guys like Rui Teixeira they're like yeah remember that whole thing

[00:26:26] when I said demographics is destiny see I didn't count on you guys alienating your base

[00:26:31] I didn't expect you guys to go full moonbat left wing crazy you know but that look I don't know

[00:26:43] I'm not going to predict for you any of the elections I don't do it I'm not good at it

[00:26:48] but also there is the the shake up that is occurring the realignment that is occurring I've been saying

[00:26:53] this for years there is a political realignment occurring right now we don't know what this

[00:27:00] is going to look like when it went when it all sort of you know settles it shakes out and it settles

[00:27:06] down and we have some coalitions that have now kind of you know bound together for electoral successes

[00:27:15] and they're willing to to work with each other at least in the short term we don't know what

[00:27:19] that's going to look like yet but generally speaking when a member of a coalition feels like

[00:27:26] they're not getting any satisfaction from the the powers that be that are running it

[00:27:30] they will go find somewhere else that will get them some of what they're asking for

[00:27:36] all right that'll do it for this episode thank you so much for listening I could not do the show

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